inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 118 Excitement14.3 [5] MVPRay Allen (BOS): +56.9%
Chicago Bulls 121 Comeback13.0 [95] LVPKendrick Perkins (BOS): -27.2%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0.570,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.59,0.570.160.420.011767%0.622-0.05887%0.01
Rajon Rondo0.170,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.170.080.09-0.001856%0.211-0.03978%0.00
Brian Scalabrine0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.000.070.00275%0.121-0.0400%0.00
Eddie House0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.00555%0.0100.001100%0.01
Mikki Moore0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stephon Marbury-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tony Allen-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.02-0.080.0000%0.001-0.1000%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.15,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.15-0.04-0.12-0.022451%0.236-0.38989%0.02
Glen Davis-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17-0.11-0.07-0.011629%-0.121-0.052100%0.08
Kendrick Perkins-0.270,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.03-0.240.001065%0.086-0.363100%0.02

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Salmons0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.320.320.080.240.001454%0.3200.009100%0.11
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.300.050.24-0.011355%0.351-0.05757%-0.16
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.180.180.060.120.00575%0.221-0.04667%-0.02
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.040.00680%0.152-0.053100%0.05
Derrick Rose0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.020.02-0.040.060.001761%0.317-0.29475%0.05
Lindsey Hunter00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01-0.002248%0.232-0.25250%-0.14
Tyrus Thomas0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.05-0.011639%-0.072-0.06450%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game26.83.631.718.729.23.548.42.422.42.521.0210.1
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.32.041.42.041.4140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +40.2%
BOS -1.5%
BOS -17.5%
CHI +33.4%
BOS -4.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSCHINBABOSCHINBA
this game16.713.815.5104.4105.2106.4
season15.814.8108.3106.3
opponent15.715.6107.2101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
BOS15.016.318.517.416.516.7
CHI15.015.713.612.612.113.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brian Scalabrine33340.50-1.001.510.2110-132317.816.31.5614.013.80.23
Kendrick Perkins76770.02-0.520.54-0.166-91516.616.9-0.2615.510.64.90
Mikki Moore1313-0.15-0.350.200.11-96-1517.016.70.3210.214.3-4.15
Eddie House3538-0.21-0.290.07-0.365-81316.816.70.1611.315.1-3.80
Paul Pierce102104-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.363-6916.320.9-4.6414.111.22.93
Rajon Rondo107109-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.495-81316.619.5-2.9414.010.83.17
Ray Allen9192-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.40-1-2116.816.40.3814.212.41.75
Tony Allen87-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.15-107-1713.916.9-3.0612.313.9-1.65
Glen Davis8889-0.590.09-0.67-0.32-96-1517.215.12.1013.814.1-0.31
Stephon Marbury1212-0.590.09-0.68-0.15-1512-2716.716.70.049.814.3-4.47

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Gordon97961.25-0.752.000.6720-173714.012.91.1216.816.40.36
Brad Miller46490.72-0.220.930.1021-183913.713.9-0.1616.916.50.39
Derrick Rose99960.490.010.480.316-3913.416.6-3.1716.717.0-0.33
Kirk Hinrich85840.430.070.350.46-14-513.315.3-1.9417.215.41.75
John Salmons91910.260.240.020.50-811-1914.312.02.3716.517.7-1.25
Lindsey Hunter10-0.050.55-0.590.04-36-90.014.0-13.960.016.7-16.72
Joakim Noah7774-0.280.78-1.060.28-1922-4114.412.81.6016.816.50.27
Tyrus Thomas7975-0.320.82-1.14-0.29-14-513.913.80.0816.317.6-1.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.6,0.48,0.26,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.09,0.23,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.85,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 110, MIA 1120.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.61,0.73,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.49,0.22,0.25,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.64,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.64,0.79,0.98,0.96,186.5%
UTA 100, POR 1020.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.22,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.71,0.68,0.73,186.4%
ORL 110, NYK 1180.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.66,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.16,0.46,0.62,0.78,0.9,0.92,185.9%