NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	110		Excitement	13.3 [4]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +32.0%
New York Knicks	118		Comeback	39.6 [32]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): -55.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.08	0.18	-0.01	17	56%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	16	57%	0.14	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.13
Gordan Giricek	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	17	53%	0.28	3	-0.23	4	75%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeryl Sasser	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	12	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Tracy McGrady	-0.55	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.27,-0.27,-0.34,-0.46,-0.51,-0.55	-0.10	-0.42	0.03	27	52%	-0.20	6	-0.35	12	92%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.02,0.15,0.26,0.23,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.05	0.27	-0.00	25	52%	0.35	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.07	0.01	12	84%	0.24	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.13	0.00	12	54%	-0.12	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.15	-0.07	0.01	21	39%	-0.13	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.08
Howard Eisley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.05	-0.21	-0.01	17	55%	-0.03	5	-0.22	4	50%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.4	3.5	32.2	43.4	28.6	2.8	35.9	1.8	18.1	2.7	17.7	210.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -29.4%

NYK +5.6%

NYK +40.7%

NYK +27.2%

NYK +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	16.1	15.5	97.3	103.5	101.6
season	14.6	15.6		102.7	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		104.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ORL	13.5	13.4	15.5	16.6	14.6	14.7
NYK	16.5	16.6	17.9	15.4	15.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeryl Sasser	29	28	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.24	-7	-1	-6	15.6	14.2	1.41	15.6	16.2	-0.67
Jacque Vaughn	42	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-6	4	13.9	15.0	-1.14	16.5	15.8	0.63
Andrew DeClercq	30	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-6	4	13.6	14.9	-1.28	18.1	15.4	2.72
Shawn Kemp	14	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	0	-8	14.1	14.6	-0.58	16.1	16.1	-0.00
Gordan Giricek	99	101	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.36	4	-12	16	14.4	15.9	-1.54	16.2	15.2	0.96
Darrell Armstrong	63	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.24	-8	0	-8	14.8	14.2	0.60	15.7	16.6	-0.92
Tracy McGrady	108	110	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	0	-8	14.5	17.0	-2.54	15.9	21.7	-5.88
Drew Gooden	87	89	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	-5	2	14.8	13.8	1.05	16.6	14.4	2.15
Pat Garrity	83	85	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	-2	-4	14.9	13.6	1.28	15.4	18.1	-2.72

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	62	63	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.18	13	-5	18	15.3	17.0	-1.73	15.1	13.9	1.25
Othella Harrington	62	64	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-9	26	16.5	15.6	0.82	14.7	14.4	0.26
Howard Eisley	107	105	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-2	12	16.1	16.1	-0.07	14.6	14.9	-0.32
Clar. Weatherspoon	100	98	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	5	-2	15.8	18.2	-2.43	14.2	17.1	-2.95
Latrell Sprewell	107	105	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	3	2	16.2	14.7	1.45	14.5	15.9	-1.40
Allan Houston	105	103	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	10	-12	16.1	15.8	0.33	14.5	15.7	-1.23
Travis Knight	4	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	9	-10	19.2	16.0	3.29	11.5	14.7	-3.19
Michael Doleac	16	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	11	-14	18.0	15.8	2.23	16.6	14.3	2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.66,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.16,0.46,0.62,0.78,0.9,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 118, CHI 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.6,0.48,0.26,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.09,0.23,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.85,0.96,1	85.9%
DEN 147, SEA 151	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.55,0.43,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.04,0.46,0.55,0.77,0.91,0.96,1	85.5%
POR 102, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.4,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.15,0.23,0.05,0	84.6%