NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	84		Excitement	3.6 [1075]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +28.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Comeback	1.1 [1273]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -5.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	10	65%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	21	42%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kwame Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Walter Herrmann	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	38%	-0.03	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	14	48%	-0.00	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.25	0.06	0.02	20	70%	0.29	0	0.00	14	79%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	14	41%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	83%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	3.8	31.5	20.0	25.0	3.8	29.0	139.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +27.6%

CLE +12.7%

CLE +7.0%

CLE +1.0%

CLE +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	17.6	18.6	15.5	105.0	129.1	106.4
season	16.9	16.9		104.9	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.7		101.0	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.7	18.1	17.5	18.2	17.6
CLE	16.8	17.9	20.4	19.7	18.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter Herrmann	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	16.0	17.7	-1.68	19.0	18.6	0.39
Amir Johnson	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	16.0	17.7	-1.68	19.0	18.6	0.39
Arron Afflalo	31	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-22	26	18.2	17.2	1.02	22.7	16.0	6.71
Jason Maxiell	14	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-17	16	17.5	17.6	-0.12	20.2	18.2	1.95
Will Bynum	20	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-15	12	19.9	16.8	3.07	22.0	17.3	4.67
Kwame Brown	27	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-16	14	17.4	17.7	-0.35	19.5	18.2	1.30
Antonio McDyess	54	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	-3	-12	17.2	18.4	-1.16	18.1	19.7	-1.62
Rasheed Wallace	61	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.07	-17	-1	-16	18.2	15.8	2.37	18.3	19.7	-1.41
Rodney Stuckey	60	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	-3	-12	16.8	19.9	-3.07	17.3	22.0	-4.67
Richard Hamilton	61	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.08	-19	1	-20	16.9	19.9	-3.01	17.2	22.6	-5.36
Tayshaun Prince	64	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.09	-20	2	-22	18.1	15.7	2.39	17.9	21.7	-3.74

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	68	68	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.02	22	-4	26	18.5	19.6	-1.17	17.4	18.7	-1.25
Anderson Varejao	60	61	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	5	8	17.9	20.9	-3.05	16.7	20.4	-3.63
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	49	49	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	2	14	16.6	22.0	-5.43	17.0	18.6	-1.65
Delonte West	72	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	7	4	18.3	21.6	-3.22	17.5	18.2	-0.72
Daniel Gibson	21	23	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.07	13	5	8	18.6	18.7	-0.08	17.7	17.5	0.20
Mo Williams	53	53	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	10	-2	19.2	17.6	1.57	18.1	16.6	1.52
Joe Smith	28	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	19	-20	22.5	16.5	6.05	18.7	17.0	1.76
Ben Wallace	17	17	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	16	-14	21.7	17.8	3.92	20.8	16.7	4.02
Sasha Pavlovic	2	3	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	15	-12	14.5	18.7	-4.24	12.3	17.8	-5.47
Tarence Kinsey	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	14.5	18.7	-4.24	17.0	17.6	-0.62
Darnell Jackson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	14.5	18.7	-4.24	17.0	17.6	-0.62
Wally Szczerbiak	21	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	21	-24	19.3	18.4	0.89	17.8	17.5	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 103, MIA 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	96.2%
PHI 87, BOS 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
ATL 97, IND 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%