NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	4.4 [931]		MVP	Al Harrington (IND): +20.9%
Indiana Pacers	112		Comeback	1.1 [1091]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (ATL): -7.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Glover	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	65%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	18	57%	0.10	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Ira Newble	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	78%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Darvin Ham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	13	58%	0.03	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.03
Glenn Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	15	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.05	-0.02	25	68%	0.27	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.03
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	14	61%	0.06	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.02	0.04	14	65%	0.06	1	-0.01	9	78%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	10	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	29.2	15.8	28.2	2.5	24.6	128.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +10.8%

IND +9.5%

IND +13.7%

IND +14.2%

IND +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	14.6	16.0	15.5	104.3	117.9	101.6
season	15.1	15.4		99.5	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.2	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.9	13.6	13.5	15.6	14.6
IND	12.4	15.8	17.8	18.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	26	26	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-18	21	13.2	15.2	-1.99	17.4	15.5	1.96
Matt Maloney	18	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-15	15	14.8	14.6	0.19	20.0	15.1	4.94
Darvin Ham	21	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-9	3	15.6	14.3	1.29	16.0	16.0	-0.06
Dion Glover	46	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-10	5	15.5	13.7	1.78	16.4	15.6	0.80
Alan Henderson	40	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-4	-7	15.2	14.2	1.10	15.7	16.2	-0.51
Theo Ratliff	46	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-4	-7	15.0	14.2	0.79	16.2	15.8	0.34
Ira Newble	47	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-5	-5	13.7	15.5	-1.78	15.6	16.4	-0.80
Glenn Robinson	72	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	-6	-3	14.3	15.6	-1.29	16.0	16.0	0.06
Jason Terry	75	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	0	-15	14.6	14.8	-0.19	15.1	20.0	-4.94
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	74	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	-4	-7	14.5	14.9	-0.41	15.6	17.7	-2.17

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	72	71	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.01	18	-3	21	15.3	18.2	-2.93	13.6	17.8	-4.18
Al Harrington	86	87	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	1	13	16.4	12.0	4.42	14.4	18.2	-3.79
Metta World Peace	75	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-3	21	15.4	18.3	-2.91	14.1	16.6	-2.52
Jamaal Tinsley	62	60	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.10	17	-2	19	15.8	16.3	-0.46	14.8	14.2	0.64
Reggie Miller	53	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	2	11	15.5	16.6	-1.02	13.5	16.1	-2.55
Erick Strickland	30	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	17	-19	15.9	16.0	-0.15	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Ron Mercer	33	32	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	17	-19	16.3	15.8	0.51	16.1	13.8	2.29
Austin Croshere	27	25	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	18	-21	17.6	15.4	2.28	16.8	13.8	2.98
Jeff Foster	34	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	15	-15	16.9	15.5	1.42	16.8	13.5	3.38
Primoz Brezec	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	13	-11	20.0	15.9	4.13	16.3	14.6	1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, CLE 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
TOR 76, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
BOS 89, LAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%