NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	88		Excitement	6.4 [491]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +23.9%
Boston Celtics	98		Comeback	1.9 [646]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -17.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.02	-0.00	-0.05	9	58%	0.12	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	11	52%	0.06	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	11	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	26	41%	-0.04	4	-0.14	6	100%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.11	0.00	10	81%	0.32	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	13	56%	0.19	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.01
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	10	70%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.07	0.02	22	48%	-0.04	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	4.3	34.6	21.6	33.1	3.5	38.5	164.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +26.9%

BOS +11.3%

BOS +23.9%

LAL -13.4%

BOS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.4	95.7	105.4	105.7
season	14.6	15.6		110.6	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.2		98.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.1	14.2	14.8	16.0	15.2
BOS	15.2	16.4	15.2	16.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	33	35	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.01	1	-11	12	14.5	15.7	-1.19	15.5	16.1	-0.63
Ronny Turiaf	22	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-7	4	17.3	14.6	2.72	17.8	15.3	2.49
Jordan Farmar	15	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-7	4	14.4	15.4	-1.02	15.2	16.0	-0.81
Pau Gasol	80	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-5	0	14.9	17.6	-2.68	15.6	18.1	-2.51
Luke Walton	23	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-5	0	18.0	14.3	3.72	18.6	15.0	3.57
Derek Fisher	77	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-3	-4	15.4	14.4	1.02	16.0	15.2	0.81
Lamar Odom	77	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	15.1	16.1	-0.98	15.5	17.7	-2.18
Sasha Vujacic	50	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	15.3	15.2	0.07	15.7	16.0	-0.31
Kobe Bryant	83	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.21	-13	3	-16	14.7	20.3	-5.63	15.5	19.0	-3.45

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	40	38	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.32	10	0	10	16.3	15.6	0.73	16.5	14.4	2.13
Ray Allen	86	84	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	-1	12	16.0	14.7	1.26	15.2	15.5	-0.27
Rajon Rondo	70	68	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	1	8	15.5	17.0	-1.54	14.7	16.7	-1.97
Kevin Garnett	79	79	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	2	6	15.7	16.6	-0.90	15.0	16.7	-1.68
Paul Pierce	60	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	0	10	15.5	16.5	-1.03	15.5	14.7	0.81
James Posey	44	43	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	7	-4	16.0	15.8	0.22	14.3	16.0	-1.69
Leon Powe	17	18	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	8	-6	17.4	15.6	1.80	14.7	15.4	-0.73
Sam Cassell	23	24	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	9	-8	17.0	15.5	1.54	16.7	14.7	1.97
Kendrick Perkins	46	45	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.05	-4	14	-18	15.4	16.4	-0.97	15.4	15.1	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.88,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	93.3%
CHH 91, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.95,1,0.99,1	93.3%
MIA 76, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.3%