inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 71 Excitement3.5 [1079] MVPDerek Fisher (LAL): +9.9%
Los Angeles Lakers 101 Comeback1.0 [1094] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -12.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.04-0.02942%0.0500.001100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.000.02580%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Kurt Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damon Stoudamire-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.0850%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Brent Barry-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01462%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03450%-0.0020.0000%0.00
Ime Udoka-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02837%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Fabricio Oberto-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03729%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.01837%-0.022-0.043100%0.01
Robert Horry-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.0050%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.080,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.010.001437%-0.071-0.0140%-0.06
Tony Parker-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.011541%-0.024-0.10250%-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.010.02585%0.1000.003100%0.01
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.011763%0.133-0.061100%0.01
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.060.02-0.09939%0.082-0.0300%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.010.031071%0.113-0.07875%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00367%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.090.000.08787%0.022-0.012100%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.010.00950%0.0000.002100%0.01
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
DJ Mbenga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01744%-0.0110.002100%0.00
Ronny Turiaf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02150%-0.002-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.02.830.219.729.13.527.6143.8
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +45.2%
LAL +11.3%
SAS -8.1%
LAL +4.0%
SAS -2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game17.413.415.476.3107.4105.7
season16.514.6104.7110.6
opponent15.215.3104.1100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.518.117.716.217.4
LAL12.013.213.615.113.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kurt Thomas1817-0.00-0.500.500.26-9-211213.918.2-4.2815.113.12.07
Robert Horry2627-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-323419.516.62.8612.613.7-1.12
Damon Stoudamire1717-0.00-0.500.490.26-9-211214.718.0-3.2915.113.12.07
Ime Udoka3130-0.03-0.470.440.35-13-17416.917.6-0.6914.612.91.72
Brent Barry3131-0.05-0.450.390.33-13-17416.917.7-0.7914.712.81.96
Jacque Vaughn3232-0.07-0.430.370.31-13-17416.417.9-1.5613.813.20.63
Michael Finley4342-0.12-0.380.250.11-8-221417.217.5-0.3113.313.5-0.25
Manu Ginobili4346-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.03-12-18617.417.40.0412.714.1-1.47
Tony Parker6162-0.43-0.07-0.370.07-17-13-417.916.41.5613.213.8-0.63
Tim Duncan6062-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-15-15018.615.23.3913.213.9-0.78
Bruce Bowen5759-0.47-0.03-0.450.03-17-13-418.016.51.5112.914.3-1.37
Fabricio Oberto4645-0.49-0.01-0.470.28-26-4-2217.117.7-0.6212.913.9-1.07

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant71670.55-0.050.61-0.152461813.313.9-0.6517.916.11.78
Lamar Odom63630.460.040.42-0.182281413.014.2-1.1918.515.13.34
Pau Gasol57570.450.050.40-0.051713413.313.6-0.3217.816.80.92
Derek Fisher47450.340.160.190.021119-813.013.9-0.8517.916.90.95
Sasha Vujacic58580.300.200.11-0.372371613.812.81.0517.417.4-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic37370.200.30-0.09-0.00723-1612.514.1-1.5916.617.9-1.29
Jordan Farmar47480.160.34-0.19-0.401911813.913.00.8516.917.9-0.95
Ronny Turiaf31310.050.45-0.39-0.18822-1413.613.30.2817.917.10.76
Trevor Ariza11120.000.50-0.50-0.12426-2214.613.31.3714.817.8-2.94
DJ Mbenga65-0.000.50-0.51-0.15525-2013.713.40.2610.217.8-7.61
Luke Walton4242-0.020.52-0.55-0.321020-1014.312.71.5116.418.2-1.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 100, LAC 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
ORL 112, DEN 1250.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.9%
LAC 70, IND 910.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%