inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 100 Excitement3.7 [1072] MVPChris Paul (LAC): +13.1%
Los Angeles Clippers 120 Comeback1.1 [851] LVPCharlie Villanueva (DAL): -8.0%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.140.000.041574%0.132-0.031100%0.01
Richard Jefferson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Chandler Parsons0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.00-0.011050%0.041-0.03475%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03540%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Dwight Powell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.100.000.102133%0.0000.002100%0.00
Raymond Felton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.09-0.010.091960%0.011-0.01475%0.01
Greg Smith-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Tyson Chandler-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00450%-0.011-0.01250%-0.01
Devin Harris-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01542%0.002-0.04250%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.16-0.01-0.09119%-0.0810.0100%0.00
Charlie Villanueva-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.00-0.020.06850%-0.061-0.02250%-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.03-0.021163%0.1300.005100%0.03
Blake Griffin0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.12-0.000.021569%0.112-0.0220%-0.01
JJ Redick0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.05-0.00-0.021357%0.091-0.022100%0.01
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.010.031364%0.071-0.012100%0.01
DeAndre Jordan0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.01-0.00-0.011054%0.061-0.03425%-0.02
Chris Douglas-Roberts00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ekpe Udoh00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.070.010.081079%0.044-0.044100%0.01
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.01643%-0.0100.00250%0.00
Reggie Bullock0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01333%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.03-0.000.06658%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.430.415.726.12.426.2126.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAC +34.8%
LAC +3.4%
LAC +5.1%
LAC +2.4%
LAC +4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALLACNBADALLACNBA
this game14.515.315.1103.1125.0104.2
season14.614.6107.6110.5
opponent15.315.0104.6105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.515.113.615.014.5
LAC15.514.314.117.715.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Juan Barea25240.10-0.600.710.042-222415.014.40.6014.015.8-1.72
Al-Farouq Aminu19170.07-0.570.63-0.085-253012.914.9-2.0216.315.11.17
Charlie Villanueva29290.02-0.520.53-0.135-253012.515.4-2.9016.714.71.94
Dwight Powell980.00-0.500.50-0.093-232611.014.9-3.8821.414.86.59
Raymond Felton980.00-0.500.50-0.093-232611.014.9-3.8821.414.86.59
Greg Smith2826-0.02-0.480.47-0.020-202013.914.8-0.8315.515.30.18
Devin Harris3635-0.10-0.400.31-0.131-212213.415.2-1.7515.815.10.69
Richard Jefferson2624-0.17-0.330.150.03-7-13614.514.5-0.0715.515.30.28
Tyson Chandler6263-0.46-0.04-0.420.13-200-2015.013.61.3915.415.20.18
Dirk Nowitzki6262-0.46-0.04-0.420.25-244-2815.512.72.8614.417.0-2.63
Chandler Parsons6163-0.48-0.02-0.450.11-200-2015.013.71.2615.215.6-0.42
Monta Ellis6465-0.50-0.00-0.500.12-211-2214.913.71.1915.215.7-0.51
Rajon Rondo5556-0.510.01-0.520.28-277-3415.413.32.0814.117.1-3.07

Los Angeles Clippers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JJ Redick57590.58-0.080.66-0.1224-42814.416.7-2.3314.814.10.72
Chris Paul62620.56-0.060.61-0.032002014.417.0-2.5814.614.30.27
Matt Barnes70700.54-0.040.57-0.1122-22415.215.8-0.6515.212.82.41
Blake Griffin70700.490.010.48-0.2425-53014.916.6-1.7615.412.33.08
DeAndre Jordan71700.390.110.280.04128414.717.2-2.4714.414.8-0.36
Jamal Crawford45450.070.43-0.36-0.11614-814.915.7-0.7513.815.1-1.29
Spencer Hawes43440.060.44-0.37-0.05416-1216.014.81.2914.314.7-0.40
Chris Douglas-Roberts560.000.50-0.500.06-222-2424.614.89.7812.014.7-2.68
Glen Davis890.000.50-0.500.09-323-2621.414.86.5911.014.9-3.88
Ekpe Udoh220.000.50-0.500.06-222-2438.514.823.666.514.7-8.18
Jordan Farmar3233-0.060.56-0.61-0.12218-1615.715.20.4814.814.40.46
Reggie Bullock1515-0.130.63-0.770.10-828-3617.914.93.0012.614.9-2.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 71, LAL 1010.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
POR 95, LAC 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.65,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
UTA 74, NJN 870.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,195.9%