inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 72 Excitement4.1 [964] MVPJason Maxiell (DET): +6.4%
Detroit Pistons 91 Comeback1.2 [954] LVPMaurice Evans (ORL): -7.3%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keyon Dooling0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00544%0.0000.00683%0.01
Pat Garrity0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
JJ Redick0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.022045%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.01530%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Marcin Gortat-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.02250%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.011141%-0.041-0.00729%-0.07
Jameer Nelson-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02839%-0.012-0.05250%-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.000.021651%0.014-0.07333%-0.03
Maurice Evans-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.01367%-0.013-0.0700%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.00867%0.081-0.022100%0.01
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.01956%0.0500.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.00-0.001451%0.081-0.04989%0.04
Richard Hamilton0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.011455%0.051-0.023100%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.080.02-0.08729%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.052100%0.0100.002100%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01944%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Walter Herrmann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.001637%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.729.319.730.23.432.7143.0
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +25.3%
DET +10.7%
DET +3.6%
DET +11.8%
ORL -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDETNBAORLDETNBA
this game15.218.115.483.7104.6105.7
season15.116.8109.9108.8
opponent15.815.6101.3104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL16.615.814.813.715.2
DET17.719.316.519.018.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pat Garrity990.00-0.500.50-0.093-22259.915.8-5.9216.718.3-1.59
JJ Redick1313-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-181712.315.7-3.3916.418.4-2.01
Keyon Dooling3334-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-191913.216.5-3.3019.317.32.02
Marcin Gortat2423-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-161312.816.1-3.3218.717.90.82
Keith Bogans4950-0.16-0.340.180.02-6-13715.514.80.7119.616.13.55
Maurice Evans4951-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.17-3-161314.216.5-2.3816.720.0-3.30
Dwight Howard6264-0.34-0.16-0.180.13-16-3-1316.112.83.3217.918.7-0.82
Hedo Turkoglu6767-0.45-0.05-0.400.17-212-2316.012.53.4817.719.4-1.76
Jameer Nelson5758-0.49-0.01-0.480.21-245-2916.412.83.6617.818.7-0.95
Rashard Lewis6766-0.540.04-0.580.17-245-2916.211.74.4318.616.52.07

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Maxiell43440.64-0.140.78-0.2731-124318.517.70.7415.814.61.20
Richard Hamilton68680.52-0.020.53-0.1021-22318.217.80.3915.713.12.69
Tayshaun Prince62630.380.120.250.08109117.719.0-1.2716.212.43.76
Rodney Stuckey35350.260.240.02-0.15145919.617.12.4814.315.8-1.57
Chauncey Billups59580.250.25-0.010.07613-717.619.1-1.5516.013.52.55
Antonio McDyess40390.160.34-0.180.10217-1518.817.51.2615.914.61.35
Rasheed Wallace54540.150.35-0.210.12118-1717.119.7-2.5916.013.82.24
Arron Afflalo20180.080.42-0.340.02217-1517.418.3-0.8311.316.2-4.87
Theo Ratliff22210.050.45-0.39-0.30127519.717.52.1914.515.4-0.94
Walter Herrmann17160.030.47-0.45-0.09415-1118.518.00.5412.215.9-3.68
Jarvis Hayes980.000.50-0.500.09-322-2516.718.3-1.599.515.8-6.27
Amir Johnson660.000.50-0.500.15-524-2915.818.3-2.438.715.7-7.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 101, WAS 1080.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.91,0.91,194.9%
GSW 95, BOS 1090.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.8%
NYK 71, ATL 880.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,194.8%