NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	5.3 [780]		MVP	Nick Young (WAS): +18.6%
Washington Wizards	108		Comeback	1.2 [467]		LVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): -16.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Price	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Deron Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.16	-0.01	0.10	18	70%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.01	0.07	18	60%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.03	4	60%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
CJ Miles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.02	13	37%	-0.09	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.04	0.01	12	78%	0.23	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	7	72%	0.14	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.02	15	57%	0.14	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	56%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	54%	0.06	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.05	0.03	12	61%	0.08	7	-0.20	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	27.6	16.4	27.5	1.7	33.4	132.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +36.5%

WAS +22.1%

WAS +9.3%

UTA -16.6%

UTA -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	WAS	NBA	UTA	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	15.3	15.5	109.8	114.9	105.7
season	15.9	15.1		106.4	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.3		108.7	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.4	17.3	14.8	14.4	15.7
WAS	13.1	15.4	15.2	17.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	3	3	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.02	3	-10	13	20.0	15.6	4.45	19.0	15.2	3.85
Earl Watson	17	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-7	7	16.9	15.4	1.53	15.7	15.2	0.57
Francisco Elson	10	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-4	1	16.9	15.5	1.35	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Ronnie Price	20	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-6	5	17.8	15.1	2.69	15.4	15.2	0.22
Mehmet Okur	23	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-4	1	17.5	15.1	2.43	15.2	15.3	-0.10
CJ Miles	52	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-11	15	16.0	15.2	0.79	15.7	14.7	1.05
Raja Bell	63	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	1	-9	15.3	16.6	-1.25	14.9	16.2	-1.35
Andrei Kirilenko	60	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	2	-11	15.6	15.9	-0.27	15.1	15.5	-0.42
Al Jefferson	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.33	-4	-3	-1	15.2	17.0	-1.76	15.5	14.7	0.81
Deron Williams	76	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	0	-7	15.3	17.5	-2.18	15.2	15.6	-0.35
Paul Millsap	68	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	0	-7	14.9	18.1	-3.23	15.1	15.8	-0.66

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	48	48	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-8	23	14.5	16.1	-1.67	14.6	16.9	-2.33
Nick Young	75	75	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-4	15	14.6	17.9	-3.35	15.5	16.6	-1.17
John Wall	78	78	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.17	12	-5	17	15.4	14.8	0.56	15.7	15.8	-0.11
Andray Blatche	76	75	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-4	15	15.1	16.2	-1.10	15.1	18.3	-3.19
Rashard Lewis	72	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	3	1	15.3	15.3	0.01	15.4	16.5	-1.04
Yi Jianlian	38	37	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	9	-11	16.1	14.7	1.30	16.9	14.9	2.05
Trevor Booker	2	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	10	-13	2.5	15.6	-13.05	24.0	15.6	8.40
Kirk Hinrich	48	45	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	12	-17	15.9	14.6	1.31	16.4	15.0	1.34
Al Thornton	33	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.18	-8	15	-23	17.2	14.2	2.98	17.2	14.9	2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 72, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NYK 71, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
UTA 89, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%