NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	89		Excitement	4.6 [937]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): +17.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	1.1 [679]		LVP	Ronnie Price (UTA): -8.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	9	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Deron Williams	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	11	66%	0.07	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Raja Bell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	82%	0.08	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	15	52%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Kyrylo Fesenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.00	6	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.06
Earl Watson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.05	6	61%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Ronnie Price	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.02	0.02	16	73%	0.21	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	18	61%	0.17	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	11	59%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Armon Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	0.8	35.9	14.8	27.6	2.0	33.0	137.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +15.1%

POR +11.5%

POR +3.3%

POR +16.0%

POR +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	15.9	15.5	98.9	108.7	105.7
season	15.9	16.5		106.4	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.6	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.3	14.7	17.0	14.2	15.8
POR	14.8	15.3	15.7	17.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	31	32	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.25	15	-26	41	14.6	16.4	-1.83	17.5	15.0	2.45
Earl Watson	39	39	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-17	23	14.5	16.8	-2.28	16.2	15.6	0.58
Kyrylo Fesenko	35	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.21	2	-13	15	15.5	15.9	-0.43	15.5	16.1	-0.64
Ronnie Price	30	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	16.7	15.3	1.33	14.8	16.4	-1.57
Gordon Hayward	47	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-4	-3	15.7	15.9	-0.25	17.0	14.6	2.42
Al Jefferson	55	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	2	-15	15.9	15.5	0.43	16.3	15.2	1.02
Raja Bell	78	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	4	-19	15.9	15.2	0.71	15.6	17.5	-1.94
Deron Williams	72	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.08	-17	6	-23	15.8	15.8	-0.07	15.4	17.7	-2.29
Paul Millsap	63	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.00	-20	9	-29	16.7	13.6	3.17	15.3	17.2	-1.95

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.10	25	-14	39	16.1	14.9	1.16	15.7	16.0	-0.28
Andre Miller	61	60	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.17	27	-16	43	16.0	15.5	0.53	15.9	15.5	0.37
Wesley Matthews	75	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-7	25	15.8	16.1	-0.30	15.7	15.9	-0.14
Marcus Camby	66	64	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	-7	25	16.7	13.7	2.98	16.1	15.1	0.99
Rudy Fernandez	45	44	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.27	-1	12	-13	14.9	16.8	-1.83	16.0	15.6	0.39
Nicolas Batum	64	64	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	1	9	15.9	15.7	0.22	15.6	16.3	-0.75
Luke Babbitt	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	20.3	15.7	4.61	4.5	16.0	-11.53
Armon Johnson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	20.3	15.7	4.61	4.5	16.0	-11.53
Sean Marks	13	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.20	-9	20	-29	15.4	15.9	-0.56	16.7	15.6	1.03
Dante Cunningham	27	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	18	-25	14.1	16.6	-2.54	16.7	15.3	1.41
Patty Mills	30	30	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.29	-14	25	-39	15.4	16.1	-0.70	15.5	15.9	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, ATL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
BOS 96, SAC 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.73,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
PHX 103, OKC 124	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%