NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	5.0 [811]		MVP	John Salmons (SAC): +19.6%
Sacramento Kings	118		Comeback	1.5 [520]		LVP	Courtney Lee (BOS): -14.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.03	12	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	13	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	62%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Paul Pierce	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	15	67%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Varnado	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	17	39%	0.00	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.21	0.04	0.05	12	85%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	-0.00	0.06	15	77%	0.17	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	11	67%	0.11	1	-0.01	8	50%	-0.05
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	7	36%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	77%	0.09	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Tyler Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	9	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.04	0.01	12	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	7	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	33.7	15.0	30.2	2.7	25.1	133.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +35.9%

SAC +3.9%

SAC +9.0%

SAC +1.4%

BOS -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SAC	NBA	BOS	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	15.4	100.0	124.2	104.1
season	14.9	15.0		101.2	104.7
opponent	15.2	16.2		109.4	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.1	16.2	15.6	13.9	15.5
SAC	15.2	11.5	13.7	18.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	42	40	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.06	7	-29	36	14.7	16.1	-1.32	15.3	14.2	1.04
Leandro Barbosa	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-21	20	12.4	15.8	-3.39	17.6	14.4	3.22
Jarvis Varnado	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-26	30	6.3	15.8	-9.44	17.0	14.6	2.38
Jared Sullinger	47	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-20	18	15.7	15.3	0.44	15.0	14.3	0.70
Kevin Garnett	57	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-22	22	15.2	15.9	-0.75	15.5	13.5	1.94
Jason Terry	64	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.29	-16	-6	-10	15.7	15.0	0.67	15.9	12.3	3.61
Jeff Green	63	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.10	-16	-6	-10	14.2	17.9	-3.66	15.0	14.0	1.02
Brandon Bass	39	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.23	-22	0	-22	15.9	15.2	0.75	13.5	15.5	-1.94
Jason Collins	36	35	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	-6	-10	17.0	14.5	2.48	13.4	15.4	-1.97
Paul Pierce	49	51	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.14	-23	1	-24	16.7	14.2	2.52	13.6	15.9	-2.30
Rajon Rondo	72	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.14	-25	3	-28	15.8	14.6	1.19	13.7	17.8	-4.09

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	67	67	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.18	26	-4	30	13.4	17.7	-4.36	15.8	14.8	1.03
Jason Thompson	63	65	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	3	16	13.5	17.0	-3.46	16.9	12.6	4.28
Isaiah Thomas	77	79	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.14	20	2	18	15.6	10.6	5.08	15.2	16.7	-1.49
James Johnson	44	44	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	11	0	13.6	15.6	-2.02	15.8	15.2	0.54
DeMarcus Cousins	64	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.24	21	1	20	13.8	16.5	-2.64	15.2	16.0	-0.84
Marcus Thornton	38	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	16	-10	13.8	15.2	-1.39	15.6	15.4	0.12
Charles Hayes	30	32	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	19	-16	16.1	14.0	2.08	16.4	15.0	1.44
Jimmer Fredette	42	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.17	10	12	-2	16.4	13.3	3.15	15.4	15.5	-0.15
Tyler Honeycutt	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	21	-20	16.3	14.6	1.77	11.7	15.7	-4.07
Thomas Robinson	12	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	28	-34	17.1	14.3	2.76	14.5	15.6	-1.12
Francisco Garcia	32	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.14	-1	23	-24	16.7	13.7	3.04	12.9	16.7	-3.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.73,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 76, SAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
PHI 76, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
UTA 89, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%