NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	87		Excitement	9.0 [115]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +10.9%
San Antonio Spurs	92		Comeback	2.1 [666]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -45.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	83%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03	0.06	-0.03	-0.00	17	61%	0.26	2	-0.23	2	0%	-0.03
Gordan Giricek	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.01	8	78%	0.16	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	14	45%	0.04	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.00	-0.01	8	36%	-0.05	2	-0.05	20	45%	-0.17
Steve Nash	-0.46	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3,-0.23,-0.31,-0.43,-0.46	-0.17	-0.28	0.00	16	32%	-0.02	5	-0.43	2	100%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,-0.02,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.01	21	53%	0.18	3	-0.08	16	81%	-0.06
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.05,0,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.01	28	48%	0.06	5	-0.13	5	60%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	3	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	11	30%	-0.06	1	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.7	3.6	38.1	19.8	30.1	3.5	49.2	179.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -47.4%

SAS +26.4%

SAS +6.6%

SAS +63.8%

SAS +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	13.9	16.3	15.4	91.6	95.8	105.7
season	13.8	16.5		111.1	104.7
opponent	15.3	15.6		100.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.4	13.6	14.4	14.2	13.9
SAS	14.8	16.4	19.0	15.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	41	41	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.02	6	-11	17	13.9	13.8	0.11	16.0	16.5	-0.49
Brian Skinner	10	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-4	3	14.4	13.8	0.60	17.9	16.1	1.74
Leandro Barbosa	38	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	2	-9	13.5	14.1	-0.65	16.2	16.3	-0.12
Boris Diaw	85	87	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.39	2	-7	9	13.9	13.6	0.29	16.5	14.1	2.39
Amar'e Stoudemire	88	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	1	-7	14.0	12.6	1.39	16.2	17.2	-1.06
Shaquille O'Neal	58	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	-1	-3	13.4	14.5	-1.11	17.3	14.6	2.66
Raja Bell	80	82	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.30	-8	3	-11	14.3	11.5	2.77	15.9	18.5	-2.60
Steve Nash	75	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.37	-7	2	-9	13.7	14.6	-0.93	15.8	18.4	-2.60

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	68	69	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.50	8	-3	11	16.2	16.6	-0.41	13.6	14.5	-0.88
Bruce Bowen	36	34	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-6	17	14.7	17.2	-2.49	13.4	14.1	-0.70
Tony Parker	84	82	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-9	23	16.0	18.3	-2.35	13.4	16.8	-3.37
Tim Duncan	80	79	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	0	5	16.7	14.1	2.59	13.7	14.5	-0.77
Manu Ginobili	55	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	4	-3	15.6	17.2	-1.68	13.2	14.8	-1.54
Ime Udoka	29	27	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	0	5	16.0	16.4	-0.35	11.2	14.9	-3.69
Robert Horry	15	15	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	6	-7	17.9	16.0	1.88	17.5	13.2	4.28
Michael Finley	58	56	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	5	-5	17.0	15.2	1.86	16.2	10.6	5.60
Jacque Vaughn	2	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.08	-3	8	-11	10.5	16.4	-5.90	8.2	14.1	-5.86
Fabricio Oberto	28	27	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	9	-13	15.1	16.8	-1.66	12.7	14.3	-1.57
Brent Barry	25	25	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.06	-11	16	-27	19.4	15.2	4.27	16.1	13.1	3.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.46,0.76,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 97, BKN 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.72,1	91.7%
NOP 118, TOR 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.9,0.95,1	91.6%
DEN 104, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.97,1	91.2%