NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	4.6 [881]		MVP	David West (NOH): +22.4%
New Orleans Hornets	99		Comeback	1.1 [986]		LVP	Josh Howard (DAL): -11.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Bass	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	55%	0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Devean George	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0	0.13	-0.01	0.11	5	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.08	11	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	21	45%	-0.05	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	44%	-0.01	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	14	43%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.05	-0.01	17	64%	0.22	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.01	9	77%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.03	19	57%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	38%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.7	29.2	19.8	25.2	3.5	39.5	145.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +54.3%

DAL -2.1%

DAL -1.3%

NOH +0.8%

DAL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOH	NBA	DAL	NOH	NBA
this game	16.9	18.2	15.4	114.6	120.7	105.7
season	16.1	15.9		108.9	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.0	20.9	14.2	15.7	16.9
NOH	18.1	15.9	21.1	17.7	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	14	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.31	10	-15	25	13.4	17.6	-4.28	19.2	18.0	1.20
Tyronn Lue	1	1	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-4	3	31.0	16.7	14.27	15.0	18.3	-3.26
Jason Kidd	71	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-10	15	16.2	21.3	-5.05	18.6	15.8	2.77
Erick Dampier	13	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	6	-17	17.3	16.8	0.48	17.7	18.3	-0.63
Brandon Bass	59	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-4	3	17.3	15.8	1.56	17.8	19.2	-1.33
Jerry Stackhouse	43	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-5	5	18.2	15.5	2.70	18.1	18.3	-0.22
Jason Terry	75	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-2	-1	17.0	15.9	1.14	18.2	18.5	-0.31
Dirk Nowitzki	82	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	16.9	0.0	16.90	18.2	0.0	18.22
Josh Howard	52	53	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.02	-19	14	-33	16.7	17.2	-0.52	18.2	18.3	-0.09

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	73	72	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.13	18	-13	31	17.9	21.1	-3.25	16.6	19.2	-2.62
David West	78	77	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.31	11	-6	17	18.3	17.2	1.02	16.4	25.0	-8.62
Chris Paul	76	76	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.31	11	-6	17	18.0	20.5	-2.46	16.4	23.7	-7.30
Jannero Pargo	47	48	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	-3	11	17.1	19.8	-2.71	18.2	15.1	3.15
Peja Stojakovic	68	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.48	-7	12	-19	18.5	16.7	1.82	16.4	19.3	-2.87
Julian Wright	20	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	9	-13	19.2	17.9	1.36	19.8	16.0	3.83
Morris Peterson	30	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	6	-7	19.5	17.5	2.07	15.0	18.0	-3.05
Bonzi Wells	14	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	10	-15	19.1	18.0	1.11	19.4	16.4	2.96
Hilton Armstrong	4	5	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	11	-17	17.2	18.3	-1.02	25.0	16.4	8.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 71, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
CHI 96, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
DAL 69, LAC 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%