NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	90		Excitement	5.9 [639]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +15.4%
Houston Rockets	98		Comeback	2.4 [752]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -10.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.03	0.05	30	59%	0.15	1	-0.00	9	78%	0.04
Matt Harpring	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	14	48%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dee Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	13	54%	0.06	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	8	53%	0.03	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.11	-0.02	29	43%	0.14	0	0.00	14	86%	0.06
Shane Battier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	7	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	5	100%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	0	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	24	47%	0.03	0	0.00	9	100%	0.04
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	9	48%	0.08	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.4	32.2	19.0	28.0	3.4	41.5	152.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -9.2%

HOU +36.6%

HOU +15.4%

HOU +4.9%

HOU +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.3	15.6	15.4	96.8	105.4	104.5
season	15.9	15.6		107.4	103.6
opponent	15.7	15.0		99.2	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.6	15.9	16.7	12.8	15.3
HOU	17.7	15.4	15.3	14.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	52	53	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.11	6	-14	20	15.4	15.3	0.12	16.7	14.2	2.56
Dee Brown	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	1.0	15.5	-14.49	0.0	15.6	-15.63
Andrei Kirilenko	33	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-5	2	16.1	14.9	1.17	16.1	15.4	0.72
Jarron Collins	20	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-7	6	17.5	14.7	2.82	15.1	15.8	-0.62
Paul Millsap	14	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-5	2	18.4	14.8	3.56	14.5	15.8	-1.34
Mehmet Okur	70	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-2	-4	14.6	17.4	-2.79	15.3	16.7	-1.37
Gordan Giricek	48	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-4	0	15.6	15.1	0.52	15.1	16.2	-1.17
Carlos Boozer	82	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	14.9	18.8	-3.95	16.2	11.6	4.65
Matt Harpring	60	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-3	-2	14.9	16.1	-1.17	15.4	16.1	-0.72
Deron Williams	85	84	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.16	-18	10	-28	15.3	15.4	-0.05	15.3	19.1	-3.85

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	88	88	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-5	18	15.4	20.2	-4.82	15.2	17.8	-2.61
Shane Battier	83	84	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	-3	14	15.2	19.5	-4.33	15.1	17.3	-2.21
Yao Ming	73	73	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	0	8	15.1	17.5	-2.44	15.3	15.5	-0.28
Juwan Howard	48	45	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	3	2	15.5	15.7	-0.19	16.6	14.2	2.41
Tracy McGrady	72	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	5	-2	16.3	13.2	3.16	14.9	16.8	-1.91
Charles Hayes	51	53	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	3	2	16.7	14.4	2.33	14.7	16.2	-1.56
Luther Head	33	34	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	5	-2	14.3	16.3	-2.02	15.4	15.3	0.08
Dikembe Mutombo	12	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	11	-14	17.2	15.4	1.85	18.2	15.0	3.23
Kirk Snyder	5	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	13	-18	20.2	15.4	4.82	17.8	15.2	2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.89,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	93.8%
DEN 105, MIN 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,0.98,1	93.7%
NYK 92, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.7%