inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 82 Excitement5.1 [804] MVPLarry Hughes (CLE): +19.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers 97 Comeback1.1 [1291] LVPEtan Thomas (WAS): -11.0%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.00-0.001551%0.0600.00580%0.02
Darius Songaila0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.00567%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Antawn Jamison0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.042743%0.031-0.021164%-0.03
Roger Mason Jr.0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.020.00386%0.082-0.071100%0.01
Donell Taylor0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.02-0.01750%0.042-0.05475%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andray Blatche-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.000.02250%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.02-0.001235%-0.072-0.03250%0.00
Etan Thomas-0.110,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.00425%-0.033-0.0800%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.090.10-0.011764%0.294-0.098100%0.04
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.110.020.031459%0.131-0.031182%0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.020.01767%0.082-0.031080%0.01
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ira Newble0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.01945%-0.001-0.032100%0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.001050%0.022-0.0700%0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02528%-0.031-0.04837%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.631.219.731.13.536.5149.8
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +25.6%
CLE +10.5%
CLE +11.1%
WAS -2.6%
CLE +5.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCLENBAWASCLENBA
this game16.715.115.491.1106.6104.5
season14.816.0107.8103.2
opponent15.615.399.6108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS17.816.315.417.416.7
CLE15.715.614.614.715.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Ruffin27280.09-0.590.69-0.055-202518.715.92.8115.115.10.02
Donell Taylor440.00-0.500.500.000-151518.216.61.6212.715.2-2.49
Andray Blatche66-0.07-0.430.37-0.122-171912.517.0-4.5021.014.76.28
Brendan Haywood910-0.07-0.430.350.02-3-12916.716.7-0.0415.515.10.41
Roger Mason Jr.1820-0.13-0.370.25-0.161-161714.917.1-2.1913.015.7-2.67
Etan Thomas4039-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.01-10-5-516.616.8-0.1815.315.00.22
Jarvis Hayes7375-0.31-0.19-0.110.02-11-4-716.916.00.8615.712.72.97
DeShawn Stevenson6664-0.34-0.16-0.170.07-14-1-1317.215.31.9215.713.71.98
Darius Songaila3435-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.03-14-1-1315.617.4-1.8313.516.2-2.68
Antawn Jamison8787-0.45-0.05-0.390.02-161-1716.716.30.3814.920.5-5.61
Antonio Daniels8687-0.500.00-0.50-0.06-150-1516.618.2-1.6215.212.72.49

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas67670.500.000.50-0.0920-52514.915.7-0.7316.916.00.94
Larry Hughes85850.490.010.48-0.0117-21914.919.0-4.1416.913.83.07
LeBron James84820.480.020.46-0.0217-21915.511.14.3216.815.21.59
Eric Snow45420.300.200.110.0496315.215.10.0915.417.9-2.52
Drew Gooden53530.290.210.090.0396314.915.5-0.6317.116.10.96
Sasha Pavlovic49500.220.28-0.060.10411-715.314.90.4717.615.52.12
Anderson Varejao50480.210.29-0.090.0078-115.614.51.0816.516.9-0.38
Ira Newble11120.100.40-0.290.07114-1312.515.5-3.0513.917.1-3.21
Daniel Gibson110.000.50-0.500.06-217-1914.015.1-1.1414.016.7-2.73
Donyell Marshall1010-0.100.60-0.700.10-722-2916.714.91.7615.816.8-1.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.75,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 109, DEN 1140.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.96,195.1%
UTA 83, NOK 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,194.7%
DEN 91, POR 1070.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%