inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 97 Excitement8.4 [210] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +20.1%
San Antonio Spurs 98 Comeback1.5 [876] LVPJason Terry (DAL): -39.7%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Howard0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.03-0.001259%0.1200.00333%-0.03
DeSagana Diop0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.003100%0.071-0.012100%0.01
Marquis Daniels0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
DJ Mbenga0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Keith Van Horn-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Devin Harris-0.050,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.030.011250%0.082-0.13683%0.01
Jerry Stackhouse-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.06-0.001238%-0.0800.002100%0.03
Dirk Nowitzki-0.240,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.07,-0.240.09-0.290.042265%0.014-0.254100%0.02
Jason Terry-0.400,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.21,-0.4-0.05-0.35-0.001450%-0.094-0.312100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.200.010.021968%0.293-0.091567%0.01
Michael Finley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.050.06-0.01867%0.131-0.012100%0.03
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.002125%0.0600.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.04,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.04-0.011353%0.033-0.07862%-0.08
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23-0.23-0.03-0.170.032450%-0.055-0.18683%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.73.737.119.527.40.139.4155.0
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +11.4%
SAS +16.5%
DAL -22.0%
SAS +42.1%
SAS +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSASNBADALSASNBA
this game15.716.415.6105.4111.4104.4
season16.416.3109.0106.0
opponent15.615.699.4102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL16.814.018.613.715.7
SAS14.516.015.719.616.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keith Van Horn770.07-0.570.630.012-3511.316.0-4.7414.616.5-1.93
DJ Mbenga22-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-118.515.8-7.3213.516.4-2.92
DeSagana Diop4443-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-43-717.514.03.4316.516.20.31
Erick Dampier3330-0.17-0.330.17-0.191-2314.216.5-2.2617.215.91.34
Josh Howard7169-0.24-0.260.02-0.15-32-516.612.63.9415.519.4-3.91
Marquis Daniels1313-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.24-21-315.215.7-0.5015.916.4-0.50
Jerry Stackhouse6358-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.535-61115.216.7-1.4517.314.62.66
Devin Harris6057-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.29-43-715.715.50.2016.316.5-0.25
Jason Terry8380-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.440-1115.319.0-3.7016.515.21.21
Dirk Nowitzki8481-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.490-1115.814.41.4116.317.4-1.17

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker68720.68-0.180.860.545-4916.017.5-1.5515.516.1-0.56
Michael Finley81840.60-0.100.700.542-1316.020.1-4.1215.714.90.86
Manu Ginobili74740.460.040.410.54-34-716.416.20.1615.715.50.20
Tim Duncan81860.270.230.040.183-2516.514.42.0915.518.0-2.50
Robert Horry22220.230.27-0.050.2301-116.016.5-0.4714.416.1-1.65
Brent Barry30350.070.43-0.37-0.116-51116.016.5-0.4816.315.31.01
Bruce Bowen40400.040.46-0.420.0401-115.217.3-2.0217.014.62.37
Nick Van Exel2423-0.220.72-0.94-0.04-67-1317.715.91.8116.315.50.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.85,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.75,0.55,0.43,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 100, LAL 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.57,0.91,191.5%
NYK 93, BOS 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.61,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.58,191.3%
CHI 90, PHX 910.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.79,0.68,0.84,190.3%