NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	100		Excitement	8.1 [196]		MVP	Steven Smith (POR): +21.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	1.9 [667]		LVP	Dale Davis (POR): -12.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.05	-0.03	12	75%	0.21	0	0.00	8	100%	0.06
Rasheed Wallace	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.03,0.03	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	24	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.07
Antonio Harvey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.16,0.06,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	14	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	10	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	10	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dale Davis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	3	30%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.12

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.14	0.00	5	50%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.05	0.12	-0.06	21	48%	0.16	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	-0.00	0.01	8	87%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.01	0.01	12	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,-0.11,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.01	21	57%	0.16	3	-0.16	16	69%	-0.03
Mike Penberthy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	5	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	3	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.7	30.5	19.0	32.0	3.5	35.2	151.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +40.0%

LAL +7.2%

LAL +20.0%

POR -18.3%

LAL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	17.0	15.9	15.5	113.6	120.7	100.9
season	15.8	15.6		103.9	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.8		101.8	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.0	16.9	17.0	17.4	17.0
LAL	14.2	15.8	14.3	19.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	10	9	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.09	10	-15	25	12.7	17.6	-4.90	19.0	15.5	3.50
Rod Strickland	17	16	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.04	5	-10	15	17.2	17.0	0.24	14.8	16.1	-1.29
Antonio Harvey	3	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-4	3	4.0	17.5	-13.51	8.2	16.2	-7.98
Arvydas Sabonis	35	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-2	-1	17.4	16.8	0.59	17.2	15.0	2.16
Stacey Augmon	34	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	1	-7	16.0	17.7	-1.75	12.7	17.8	-5.10
Scottie Pippen	67	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-3	1	17.3	16.2	1.06	17.5	10.8	6.66
Dale Davis	53	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	-3	1	16.8	17.4	-0.59	15.0	17.2	-2.16
Rasheed Wallace	85	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-1	-3	17.5	4.0	13.51	16.2	8.2	7.98
Damon Stoudamire	71	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.31	-10	5	-15	17.0	17.2	-0.24	16.1	14.8	1.29
Steven Smith	65	66	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.44	-12	7	-19	18.0	14.3	3.71	15.4	17.3	-1.88

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	71	73	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.37	18	-13	31	14.9	20.1	-5.22	17.2	16.5	0.70
Derek Fisher	71	72	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.37	11	-6	17	16.1	15.0	1.06	17.0	17.3	-0.33
Kobe Bryant	82	83	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	-3	11	15.7	18.6	-2.90	17.2	14.4	2.80
Shaquille O'Neal	75	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	1	3	16.6	11.1	5.54	17.5	14.3	3.14
Horace Grant	47	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	-1	7	15.5	16.3	-0.81	16.9	17.2	-0.29
Robert Horry	41	40	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.25	-1	6	-7	16.0	15.7	0.31	16.8	17.3	-0.50
Mark Madsen	11	10	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	2	1	11.6	16.5	-4.84	17.2	17.0	0.17
Mike Penberthy	1	2	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	7	-9	5.0	16.0	-10.99	0.0	17.4	-17.44
Devean George	13	11	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	14	-23	19.5	15.2	4.23	17.2	17.0	0.16
Brian Shaw	23	24	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.04	-13	18	-31	17.3	15.4	1.90	17.0	17.1	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.57,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.8,0.71,0.85,0.95,1	91.8%
CHI 90, PHX 91	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.79,0.68,0.84,1	91.8%
ORL 105, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.92,1	91.8%