NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	79		Excitement	3.2 [1170]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +15.3%
Dallas Mavericks	94		Comeback	1.4 [1010]		LVP	Shane Battier (MEM): -8.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	80%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	13	52%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Bobby Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	11	55%	0.00	5	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	35%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.01	-0.01	19	60%	0.15	1	-0.00	14	86%	0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	10	61%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	14	55%	0.08	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	64%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Josh Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	7	29%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	4.3	36.4	19.6	30.4	3.5	32.4	154.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +22.2%

DAL +8.9%

DAL +4.0%

DAL +15.0%

MEM -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	16.8	17.1	15.6	92.9	110.6	104.4
season	17.1	16.4		103.5	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.7		102.9	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	21.3	18.4	14.5	13.8	16.8
DAL	14.7	16.8	16.2	20.5	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	8	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	13.9	17.1	-3.24	19.1	16.8	2.30
Antonio Burks	15	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-20	25	13.6	17.5	-3.90	20.4	16.4	3.93
Hakim Warrick	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-20	25	13.8	17.8	-4.05	20.5	15.9	4.59
Lorenzen Wright	28	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-16	17	17.0	16.7	0.28	16.5	17.3	-0.84
Bobby Jackson	49	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-17	19	15.4	18.7	-3.27	18.4	15.2	3.21
Shane Battier	26	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-9	3	18.7	16.0	2.76	17.0	17.1	-0.16
Dahntay Jones	36	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-8	1	15.0	18.2	-3.19	18.1	16.3	1.85
Mike Miller	45	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-1	-13	16.9	16.7	0.26	15.6	18.6	-2.97
Jake Tsakalidis	28	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	0	-15	18.2	16.1	2.04	16.0	17.6	-1.60
Eddie Jones	58	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	-2	-11	17.8	14.7	3.14	15.8	19.8	-4.02
Pau Gasol	67	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	0	-15	17.5	14.1	3.43	16.5	18.8	-2.26
Chucky Atkins	44	45	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.11	-20	5	-25	18.3	15.2	3.03	16.6	17.6	-1.09

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	63	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-1	17	17.6	15.5	2.18	16.9	16.6	0.23
Jason Terry	62	65	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	0	15	17.4	16.3	1.11	17.2	15.5	1.72
Josh Howard	66	64	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	9	-3	16.7	18.5	-1.87	17.1	15.8	1.33
Adrian Griffin	35	34	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	5	5	16.9	17.2	-0.22	18.3	15.8	2.42
DJ Mbenga	14	12	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.04	10	5	5	16.1	17.3	-1.20	15.8	17.0	-1.14
Jerry Stackhouse	44	43	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	8	-1	16.5	17.6	-1.09	17.0	16.6	0.33
DeSagana Diop	24	26	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	8	-1	15.4	17.7	-2.36	19.3	15.7	3.60
Marquis Daniels	32	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	13	-11	18.2	16.4	1.89	15.1	17.9	-2.82
Erick Dampier	45	45	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	15	-15	18.0	16.0	2.07	15.8	17.9	-2.15
Devin Harris	29	28	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	12	-9	16.4	17.4	-0.94	14.8	17.8	-2.97
Darrell Armstrong	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	17.3	17.1	0.27	7.5	17.0	-9.54
Josh Powell	8	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	16	-17	16.0	17.2	-1.18	19.7	16.6	3.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 86, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
LAC 86, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
NYK 105, SAS 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.51,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%