NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	3.6 [866]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +8.7%
San Antonio Spurs	118		Comeback	1.2 [876]		LVP	Baron Davis (NYK): -9.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Fields	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	0.00	0.08	12	69%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Josh Harrellson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	10	40%	-0.03	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.11	15	57%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.01	0.08	12	58%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.03	0.08	24	55%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Baron Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.06	7	0%	-0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	19	68%	0.17	4	-0.08	9	89%	0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	-0.05	13	43%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	4	91%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	59%	0.07	2	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	10	77%	0.08	4	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	80%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	56%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.6	30.0	15.6	32.4	1.7	25.3	130.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +40.8%

SAS +6.3%

SAS +11.4%

NYK -6.6%

NYK -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	13.3	15.3	15.6	105.0	116.8	102.8
season	14.9	15.3		102.3	109.1
opponent	15.2	15.7		101.5	100.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.9	16.4	11.5	12.0	13.3
SAS	12.3	16.4	15.7	17.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Harrellson	49	49	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.20	8	-21	29	12.4	14.2	-1.75	15.1	15.5	-0.48
Baron Davis	44	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-16	19	13.8	13.0	0.81	15.4	15.2	0.23
Landry Fields	43	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-7	1	14.3	12.6	1.77	13.8	16.5	-2.72
Steve Novak	37	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	-3	-7	14.6	12.6	2.03	13.5	16.3	-2.83
J.R. Smith	44	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-4	-5	13.9	12.9	1.06	15.9	14.8	1.03
Iman Shumpert	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-6	-1	12.8	14.0	-1.20	16.5	13.6	2.93
Jeremy Lin	63	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-1	-11	12.7	14.4	-1.65	15.6	14.9	0.66
Carmelo Anthony	81	81	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	-2	-9	13.1	14.5	-1.46	15.3	15.3	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	80	79	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.04	-21	8	-29	13.3	13.5	-0.20	15.6	14.1	1.55

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	70	73	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-3	19	15.1	15.7	-0.63	13.4	13.3	0.11
Richard Jefferson	50	50	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.02	13	0	13	16.4	14.2	2.16	13.7	13.0	0.72
Tim Duncan	61	63	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	3	7	15.8	14.6	1.21	13.1	13.7	-0.62
Manu Ginobili	55	53	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.17	17	-4	21	14.1	16.7	-2.55	14.4	12.2	2.17
Gary Neal	54	52	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	7	-1	15.8	14.8	1.01	12.6	14.1	-1.51
James Anderson	13	12	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	12	-11	16.4	15.1	1.24	13.1	13.4	-0.29
Matt Bonner	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.11	8	5	3	13.4	16.2	-2.83	15.2	12.5	2.67
Tiago Splitter	40	37	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	10	-7	14.6	15.8	-1.21	13.7	13.1	0.62
DeJuan Blair	31	32	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	10	-7	15.6	15.2	0.39	11.9	14.0	-2.11
Kawhi Leonard	55	53	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.24	-5	18	-23	14.9	15.8	-0.83	12.8	13.9	-1.04
Danny Green	33	34	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.24	-5	18	-23	17.0	14.5	2.51	11.9	14.1	-2.25
T.J. Ford	11	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	15	-17	15.5	15.3	0.17	16.8	13.0	3.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.51,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 79, DAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
UTA 100, DEN 117	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIL 88, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%