inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 100 Excitement3.4 [905] MVPNene (DEN): +17.4%
Denver Nuggets 117 Comeback1.4 [997] LVPDerrick Favors (UTA): -7.2%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Millsap0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.000.02972%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Devin Harris0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.01859%0.062-0.0310%-0.01
Alec Burks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.090.000.09971%0.0010.003100%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
Jeremy Evans0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gordon Hayward-0.000,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.010.02662%0.031-0.03475%0.00
Enes Kanter-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.00-0.02531%-0.0000.00367%0.00
Al Jefferson-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.011459%0.074-0.08475%-0.00
CJ Miles-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.000.02959%0.023-0.05450%-0.02
Earl Watson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.100.00-0.0710%-0.014-0.0300%0.00
Raja Bell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Josh Howard-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.000.03936%-0.0600.004100%0.00
Derrick Favors-0.070,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.110.00-0.04420%-0.033-0.0520%-0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.190.010.021381%0.201-0.025100%0.02
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.01-0.031158%0.111-0.01475%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.01769%0.063-0.042100%0.01
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.09-0.000.081178%0.073-0.0610%-0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.041042%0.021-0.01450%-0.02
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01546%0.001-0.00367%-0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.03737%0.021-0.03560%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01440%-0.011-0.002100%0.00
Rudy Fernandez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.04779%-0.034-0.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.51.830.215.522.51.827.0124.3
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +22.8%
DEN +6.3%
DEN +10.2%
DEN +12.2%
UTA -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADENNBAUTADENNBA
this game15.112.715.697.1111.4102.8
season15.814.5104.0107.5
opponent15.815.1104.5104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA16.316.815.612.015.1
DEN11.312.713.812.812.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Tinsley2323-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-243111.816.0-4.2213.612.41.22
Alec Burks2323-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-243111.816.0-4.2213.612.41.22
Derrick Favors3536-0.02-0.480.47-0.165-222714.615.3-0.6913.712.11.58
Josh Howard4242-0.03-0.470.44-0.185-222713.716.0-2.3513.012.50.49
Enes Kanter2930-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-171715.115.10.0113.412.31.09
Earl Watson3435-0.16-0.340.190.17-11-6-515.714.80.9212.712.60.04
Jeremy Evans2930-0.22-0.280.07-0.272-192113.215.8-2.5813.112.50.67
Paul Millsap4747-0.27-0.23-0.040.32-203-2315.914.31.6111.813.3-1.54
CJ Miles4646-0.27-0.23-0.040.17-15-2-1315.714.51.2312.612.7-0.16
Raja Bell3941-0.27-0.23-0.040.05-11-6-516.114.41.6812.113.0-0.96
Devin Harris4647-0.34-0.16-0.190.04-13-4-916.214.12.1312.213.1-0.88
Gordon Hayward5658-0.43-0.07-0.360.16-203-2316.213.72.4212.612.8-0.24
Al Jefferson6667-0.45-0.05-0.400.17-214-2515.514.31.1912.113.6-1.44

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson53540.470.030.44-0.0919-22111.813.5-1.6316.413.62.80
Andre Miller60590.400.100.29-0.1920-32312.413.0-0.6815.514.50.97
Nene52510.380.120.26-0.061521312.113.2-1.1116.114.11.98
Rudy Fernandez68640.360.140.21-0.02134912.712.50.1814.815.4-0.57
Danilo Gallinari54530.310.190.12-0.07134912.512.8-0.3616.213.92.25
Al Harrington46450.290.210.08-0.3020-32311.813.3-1.4415.814.51.28
Timofey Mozgov37370.140.36-0.22-0.01512-713.512.21.2815.215.00.16
Chris Andersen31310.080.42-0.34-0.22107312.012.9-0.8915.914.71.25
Arron Afflalo42410.070.43-0.370.04116-1513.512.11.3315.514.80.67
Corey Brewer29290.010.49-0.490.15-522-2712.812.60.1912.016.2-4.21
Kenneth Faried21200.000.50-0.500.26-926-3514.412.22.2111.116.0-4.91
Kosta Koufos18180.000.50-0.500.29-1027-3714.012.41.6211.615.8-4.18
DeMarre Carroll14130.000.50-0.500.21-724-3114.212.41.8011.815.5-3.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 89, OKC 1150.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
NJN 92, IND 1240.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
CLE 103, PHI 1160.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%