NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	3.3 [1112]		MVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): +10.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	116		Comeback	1.6 [1176]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CLE): -3.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dajuan Wagner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	11	77%	0.14	5	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Darius Miles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	12	54%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	12	53%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Chris Mihm	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	15	57%	0.02	3	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.01	11	87%	0.15	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	10	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	6	33%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.15	0.00	-0.16	23	39%	0.02	1	-0.01	13	69%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	11	63%	0.04	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Efthimios Rentzias	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.7	27.9	14.8	24.6	2.5	30.5	130.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +15.1%

CLE -0.6%

PHI +13.9%

PHI +15.4%

PHI +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	14.0	15.5	106.2	113.7	101.6
season	15.1	15.3		94.6	102.1
opponent	15.5	14.9		99.9	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.9	17.1	17.0	13.1	14.9
PHI	15.2	15.0	12.5	13.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	14	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-11	9	16.5	14.7	1.84	17.1	13.5	3.60
Michael Stewart	17	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-10	7	19.5	13.9	5.58	11.9	14.5	-2.59
Chris Mihm	31	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-12	11	16.3	14.3	1.96	13.7	14.2	-0.55
Carlos Boozer	40	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-2	-9	15.3	14.6	0.68	14.3	13.8	0.45
Dajuan Wagner	53	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-8	3	15.7	14.0	1.74	15.2	12.7	2.44
Darius Miles	57	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.15	-2	-11	9	12.9	17.8	-4.97	13.7	14.5	-0.75
Jumaine Jones	59	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-8	3	15.4	14.2	1.14	14.2	13.8	0.47
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	66	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.18	-8	-5	-3	13.4	18.2	-4.75	13.9	14.3	-0.31
Milt Palacio	64	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.01	-16	3	-19	14.7	15.3	-0.57	14.3	13.5	0.76
Ricky Davis	84	87	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	-1	-11	15.0	14.6	0.36	13.2	18.8	-5.58

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	77	72	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.20	25	-12	37	13.8	14.8	-0.95	14.9	15.0	-0.10
Allen Iverson	87	81	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-4	21	13.5	17.1	-3.55	14.8	15.4	-0.54
Kenny Thomas	75	71	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.09	17	-4	21	14.1	13.7	0.41	15.6	13.2	2.42
Eric Snow	70	65	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.16	17	-4	21	14.3	13.5	0.83	15.1	14.6	0.55
Greg Buckner	26	25	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	5	3	11.5	14.9	-3.41	18.9	13.6	5.32
Keith Van Horn	71	67	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	6	1	13.5	15.2	-1.70	14.4	16.0	-1.60
Aaron McKie	49	49	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	12	-11	14.3	13.8	0.44	15.1	14.7	0.35
Monty Williams	9	10	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	10	-7	19.7	13.5	6.17	15.6	14.9	0.75
Brian Skinner	28	27	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.27	-9	22	-31	15.2	13.6	1.67	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Efthimios Rentzias	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	16.5	13.9	2.61	7.8	15.4	-7.56
Kenny Satterfield	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	16.5	13.9	2.61	7.8	15.4	-7.56
John Salmons	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	16.5	13.9	2.61	7.8	15.4	-7.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 86, PHX 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CLE 75, CHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DET 83, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%