NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	75		Excitement	3.1 [940]		MVP	Luke Harangody (CLE): +8.2%
Chicago Bulls	107		Comeback	1.6 [1039]		LVP	Donald Sloan (CLE): -7.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Harangody	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Manny Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.09	9	25%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Alonzo Gee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	18	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
D.J. Kennedy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	6	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02
Donald Sloan	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	17	35%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.18	0.01	0.13	16	74%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	8	52%	0.04	2	-0.01	7	57%	-0.04
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	7	71%	0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	27.0	14.8	23.8	1.8	24.0	118.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +46.2%

CLE -7.1%

CHI +4.6%

CHI +6.7%

CLE -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	17.1	14.6	15.6	82.4	117.6	102.8
season	15.5	16.0		99.5	104.7
opponent	15.9	15.6		97.0	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.0	18.4	15.3	19.0	17.1
CHI	14.7	15.2	14.7	13.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	39	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-30	28	16.1	17.9	-1.81	15.0	14.3	0.71
Manny Harris	35	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.41	-18	-14	-4	18.4	16.3	2.09	15.4	14.0	1.37
Luke Walton	10	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-27	22	19.6	16.8	2.82	19.5	13.9	5.67
Samardo Samuels	22	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.28	-14	-18	4	17.9	16.8	1.02	15.4	14.3	1.17
Luke Harangody	48	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.27	-16	-16	0	17.9	16.2	1.62	15.5	13.5	1.97
Alonzo Gee	52	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	-21	10	15.8	18.7	-2.90	13.9	15.4	-1.59
Tristan Thompson	58	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-20	8	16.5	18.1	-1.62	14.7	14.3	0.40
D.J. Kennedy	52	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.49	-30	-2	-28	17.9	16.1	1.81	14.3	15.0	-0.71
Antawn Jamison	57	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.31	-24	-8	-16	17.1	17.1	-0.09	13.3	16.6	-3.28
Donald Sloan	82	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.41	-28	-4	-24	16.8	19.7	-2.86	13.9	19.8	-5.89

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	54	53	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.49	31	1	30	14.2	15.0	-0.79	17.8	16.1	1.73
Taj Gibson	59	58	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.38	27	5	22	14.0	15.6	-1.55	17.2	16.8	0.42
Joakim Noah	60	60	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.27	22	10	12	14.1	15.5	-1.40	17.3	16.7	0.52
John Lucas III	52	51	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.45	28	4	24	14.3	14.9	-0.63	17.7	16.3	1.45
Mike James	44	44	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.46	28	4	24	14.4	14.7	-0.25	18.4	15.9	2.56
Ronnie Brewer	47	47	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	28	-24	14.7	14.4	0.25	15.9	18.4	-2.56
CJ Watson	39	40	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	28	-24	14.9	14.3	0.63	16.3	17.7	-1.45
Omer Asik	31	31	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.17	10	22	-12	15.5	14.1	1.40	16.7	17.3	-0.52
Carlos Boozer	27	28	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	27	-22	15.2	14.3	0.94	16.5	17.3	-0.80
Richard Hamilton	37	38	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	31	-30	15.0	14.2	0.79	16.1	17.8	-1.73
Brian Scalabrine	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	32	-32	17.4	14.4	3.00	18.4	17.0	1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, MIA 120	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
SAC 67, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
ATL 92, SAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%