inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 67 Excitement2.7 [1171] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +4.2%
San Antonio Spurs 109 Comeback1.8 [994] LVPMitch Richmond (SAC): -14.8%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Stewart0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.01771%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Billy Owens0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.10-0.00-0.11840%0.013-0.00450%0.01
Kevin Salvadori0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Bobby Hurley0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00944%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Corliss Williamson-0.010,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.011555%0.032-0.031100%0.00
Mark Hendrickson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.03533%-0.021-0.002100%0.00
Olden Polynice-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.120.01-0.061225%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Terry Dehere-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.0330%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Mitch Richmond-0.150,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.19-0.01-0.051425%-0.103-0.054100%0.02

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.000.021864%0.092-0.05850%-0.03
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01667%0.0400.0000%0.00
Reggie Geary0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.00-0.05644%0.0300.00450%-0.01
David Robinson0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.031562%0.054-0.03989%0.02
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.10-0.000.09974%0.0100.0010%-0.00
Carl Herrera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03667%0.0010.0000%0.00
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01550%0.0010.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Will Perdue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.02557%-0.0100.00450%-0.01
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.00362%-0.012-0.02250%-0.01
Chuck Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.02614%-0.0700.0020%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.71.828.316.625.01.619.8115.8
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +32.3%
SAC -0.5%
SAS +7.5%
SAS +9.2%
SAS +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACSASNBASACSASNBA
this game15.614.415.669.8113.5102.5
season15.215.998.5100.9
opponent15.915.397.2104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC12.515.417.817.115.6
SAS15.714.013.514.214.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Salvadori12130.00-0.500.500.18-6-363014.415.8-1.3712.814.6-1.78
Tariq Abdul-Wahad2323-0.00-0.500.500.35-12-301817.115.21.9414.214.4-0.22
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf3435-0.01-0.490.480.52-18-24615.715.50.1912.915.2-2.27
Mark Hendrickson3131-0.12-0.380.250.20-11-312016.615.11.4714.214.5-0.33
Bobby Hurley98-0.18-0.320.130.08-9-332418.615.33.2512.614.5-1.92
Terry Dehere3231-0.19-0.310.130.43-21-21017.414.72.7312.915.1-2.19
Olden Polynice4847-0.23-0.270.030.35-20-22214.616.6-2.0213.515.2-1.67
Mitch Richmond5555-0.30-0.20-0.110.14-15-271214.916.6-1.6915.912.33.57
Anthony Johnson6263-0.31-0.19-0.130.30-21-21014.817.1-2.2414.813.61.23
Michael Stewart3938-0.36-0.14-0.210.23-20-22217.614.23.3715.513.71.80
Billy Owens6565-0.38-0.12-0.250.53-31-11-2015.116.6-1.4714.514.20.33
Corliss Williamson7071-0.41-0.09-0.320.35-26-16-1014.917.5-2.5914.713.51.22

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan78780.500.000.50-0.533572814.513.80.7515.416.5-1.09
David Robinson54540.480.020.45-0.3227151214.414.4-0.0316.314.71.64
Avery Johnson54540.440.060.39-0.202220214.813.90.8515.515.8-0.26
Chuck Person58590.410.090.33-0.3827151214.214.6-0.3615.715.50.16
Reggie Geary40410.250.250.01-0.5126161013.614.9-1.2616.714.81.82
Jaren Jackson67660.230.27-0.03-0.472418614.813.51.2914.717.7-3.08
Monty Williams41410.150.35-0.19-0.401923-414.614.20.3516.015.40.59
Will Perdue42420.020.48-0.45-0.411527-1214.414.40.0314.716.3-1.64
Cory Alexander20200.000.50-0.50-0.18636-3014.114.5-0.3616.415.40.99
Carl Herrera18180.000.50-0.50-0.21735-2813.814.5-0.7516.515.41.09
Malik Rose870.000.50-0.50-0.06240-3813.014.5-1.5114.715.7-0.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 83, GSW 1290.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
CLE 75, CHI 1070.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
ATL 92, SAC 1170.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%