NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	83		Excitement	3.1 [1179]		MVP	Elfrid Payton (PHX): +10.3%
Golden State Warriors	129		Comeback	1.6 [1289]		LVP	Josh Jackson (PHX): -11.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elfrid Payton	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	-0.01	18	67%	0.18	4	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Davon Reed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	1	0%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Marquese Chriss	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Gray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.14	0.01	-0.11	11	21%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	6	20%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01
TJ Warren	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.00	0.04	18	37%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Josh Jackson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	18	22%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.00	-0.05	17	59%	0.10	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.06	10	70%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Omri Casspi	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	10	76%	0.05	1	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	9	85%	0.10	4	-0.06	2	0%	-0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	12	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.0	27.2	14.8	29.6	1.6	23.4	123.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +41.8%

GSW +2.7%

PHX -14.3%

GSW +18.1%

GSW +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	12.5	14.7	81.4	122.9	107.5
season	14.2	13.7		102.6	112.6
opponent	15.1	14.3		105.8	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.0	15.0	17.1	14.2	15.3
GSW	12.3	12.1	11.2	14.6	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davon Reed	20	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.29	-10	-36	26	13.5	15.8	-2.27	15.2	11.8	3.34
Jared Dudley	20	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.29	-10	-36	26	13.5	15.8	-2.27	15.2	11.8	3.34
Alex Len	42	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.44	-20	-26	6	16.2	14.7	1.55	12.1	12.8	-0.72
Elfrid Payton	65	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.46	-22	-24	2	15.8	14.5	1.36	12.7	12.2	0.49
Marquese Chriss	38	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.49	-24	-22	-2	16.5	14.6	1.87	10.9	13.5	-2.59
Troy Daniels	42	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.18	-14	-32	18	16.1	14.7	1.39	12.2	12.8	-0.50
Dragan Bender	64	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.36	-22	-24	2	14.6	16.5	-1.87	13.5	10.9	2.59
Josh Gray	37	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.39	-24	-22	-2	14.5	15.8	-1.36	12.2	12.7	-0.49
TJ Warren	71	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.41	-25	-21	-4	15.3	15.4	-0.04	12.7	12.2	0.48
Tyson Chandler	40	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.12	-16	-30	14	15.3	15.4	-0.08	11.5	13.2	-1.60
Josh Jackson	71	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.81	-43	-3	-40	15.4	15.2	0.14	11.8	14.2	-2.48

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	66	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.31	21	25	-4	11.6	14.2	-2.60	15.7	14.7	0.97
Kevin Durant	66	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.31	21	25	-4	11.6	14.2	-2.60	15.7	14.7	0.97
Nick Young	53	50	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.72	34	12	22	12.6	12.4	0.20	14.9	15.7	-0.75
Andre Iguodala	50	49	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.32	20	26	-6	13.0	12.1	0.95	15.3	15.4	-0.11
David West	34	33	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.43	23	23	0	12.7	12.5	0.24	15.5	15.2	0.33
Shaun Livingston	34	33	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.43	23	23	0	12.7	12.5	0.24	15.5	15.2	0.33
Klay Thompson	48	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	34	-22	12.9	12.2	0.73	15.9	14.8	1.08
Omri Casspi	60	57	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.64	28	18	10	13.1	11.8	1.30	14.8	15.9	-1.09
Patrick McCaw	17	17	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	39	-32	11.7	12.7	-1.00	15.1	15.4	-0.25
Kevon Looney	31	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.49	22	24	-2	13.2	12.3	0.92	13.4	16.1	-2.73
Zaza Pachulia	36	34	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.11	6	40	-34	13.3	12.1	1.20	16.3	14.8	1.50
JaVale McGee	30	29	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.35	13	33	-20	12.5	12.5	-0.01	14.9	15.5	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 67, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
LAL 72, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
WAS 85, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%