NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	87		Excitement	2.5 [1263]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +6.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	1.1 [1221]		LVP	Andre Miller (DEN): -11.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	0	70%	0.01	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	0.00	0.10	10	70%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	14	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Eduardo Najera	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	17	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Kenyon Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	15	42%	-0.05	3	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Andre Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.00	11	47%	-0.02	6	-0.09	8	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	14	58%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	53%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.04	18	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	71%	0.02	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	15	38%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	62%	0.02	5	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.8	36.0	19.8	32.2	3.4	32.5	154.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +42.9%

LAC +4.2%

DEN -1.3%

LAC +2.8%

LAC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.3	15.8	15.6	93.5	106.5	104.4
season	14.4	15.2		103.5	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.9		102.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	18.0	14.9	13.8	14.7	15.3
LAC	14.6	16.4	15.5	16.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	30	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.50	15	-26	41	13.5	16.2	-2.71	17.9	14.7	3.22
Reggie Evans	35	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-12	13	15.4	15.3	0.11	15.1	16.2	-1.14
DerMarr Johnson	19	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	-3	-5	13.4	15.8	-2.40	16.0	15.8	0.25
Kenyon Martin	12	12	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	0	-11	19.6	14.7	4.88	14.2	16.0	-1.88
Carmelo Anthony	55	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-12	13	15.9	14.4	1.50	16.1	15.4	0.68
Francisco Elson	18	17	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	2	-15	17.1	14.9	2.14	15.0	16.0	-0.99
Ruben Patterson	39	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	0	-11	16.5	14.5	2.03	15.5	16.0	-0.53
Greg Buckner	46	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-3	-5	15.8	14.9	0.93	15.0	16.6	-1.62
Andre Miller	72	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-7	3	14.8	17.0	-2.21	16.0	15.0	1.04
Earl Boykins	66	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-2	-7	15.2	15.6	-0.42	15.4	16.7	-1.22
Marcus Camby	73	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-3	-5	14.6	17.8	-3.21	16.2	14.5	1.65

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	71	72	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.09	13	-2	15	15.8	15.8	0.05	15.5	14.6	0.92
Cuttino Mobley	69	71	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	3	5	16.6	13.4	3.16	14.9	16.9	-2.00
Sam Cassell	65	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	1	9	16.2	14.9	1.24	14.8	16.6	-1.83
Quinton Ross	56	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	2	7	15.9	15.6	0.32	14.9	16.1	-1.28
Chris Kaman	53	56	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	0	11	16.1	15.4	0.73	15.4	15.2	0.28
Vladimir Radmanovic	43	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	4	3	14.0	17.4	-3.34	15.7	15.0	0.67
Shaun Livingston	42	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	4	3	14.2	17.2	-2.97	16.7	14.3	2.41
Corey Maggette	34	33	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.19	-2	13	-15	15.7	15.9	-0.20	15.9	15.0	0.94
Walter McCarty	10	11	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	7	-3	15.1	15.9	-0.79	18.0	15.0	3.02
James Singleton	9	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.20	-7	18	-25	18.1	15.6	2.56	12.7	15.5	-2.83
Zeljko Rebraca	8	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	16	-21	19.9	15.4	4.46	12.0	15.6	-3.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 81, HOU 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
TOR 84, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
DEN 114, PHX 128	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%