inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 105 Excitement3.5 [1115] MVPBruce Bowen (SAS): +11.8%
Sacramento Kings 83 Comeback1.5 [431] LVPBrad Miller (SAC): -13.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0.120,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.140.010.031080%0.1200.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0.080,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.14-0.010.042063%0.132-0.04989%0.01
Manu Ginobili0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.010.04-0.031043%0.061-0.00333%-0.01
Tim Duncan0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.000.03871%0.072-0.04560%-0.02
Brent Barry0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.110.000.09686%0.0200.002100%0.01
Robert Horry0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.010.02753%0.031-0.021100%0.01
Nazr Mohammed0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02050%0.0010.00250%0.00
Beno Udrih0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.0320%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Michael Finley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.011145%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Nick Van Exel-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.00233%-0.021-0.022100%0.01

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.02275%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.02333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.01-0.021847%0.021-0.014100%0.01
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronnie Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.04-0.000.04955%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Kenny Thomas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.000.01286%0.043-0.05367%-0.01
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.010.04971%0.064-0.07667%-0.01
Metta World Peace0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.000.011137%-0.073-0.04887%-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.00556%0.036-0.15650%-0.02
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.00623%-0.043-0.091100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.33.632.118.432.33.631.5145.8
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +26.5%
SAS +7.2%
SAC -4.2%
SAS +21.8%
SAC -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASSACNBASASSACNBA
this game17.514.015.6115.490.2104.4
season16.315.3106.0104.7
opponent15.515.6103.899.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.618.417.318.717.5
SAC14.415.213.413.214.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Horry50540.64-0.140.77-0.1627-53217.117.9-0.8514.912.82.12
Tony Parker63660.57-0.070.64-0.1725-32817.816.71.0314.014.0-0.01
Manu Ginobili61640.54-0.040.58-0.2527-53216.818.9-2.1514.014.0-0.00
Bruce Bowen73750.390.110.29-0.02148618.114.83.2814.113.60.55
Tim Duncan64660.300.200.09-0.171661017.417.6-0.1314.113.80.37
Rasho Nesterovic28260.200.30-0.090.03616-1017.817.30.4713.814.1-0.37
Nazr Mohammed540.000.50-0.50-0.12418-1413.617.7-4.0911.014.2-3.17
Beno Udrih540.000.50-0.50-0.12418-1413.617.7-4.0911.014.2-3.17
Fabricio Oberto540.000.50-0.50-0.12418-1413.617.7-4.0911.014.2-3.17
Brent Barry3230-0.030.53-0.560.09-426-3018.017.20.8313.714.2-0.49
Michael Finley4645-0.040.54-0.580.14-628-3418.116.81.3113.614.5-0.89
Nick Van Exel2322-0.070.57-0.640.14-729-3617.417.5-0.0414.613.90.73

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Hart10110.05-0.550.600.11-2-201813.514.1-0.6014.217.9-3.73
Francisco Garcia23230.04-0.540.580.10-2-201813.014.4-1.3215.418.1-2.71
Corliss Williamson450.00-0.500.500.12-4-181411.014.2-3.1713.617.7-4.09
Vitaly Potapenko450.00-0.500.500.12-4-181411.014.2-3.1713.617.7-4.09
Ronnie Price450.00-0.500.500.12-4-181411.014.2-3.1713.617.7-4.09
Shareef Abdur-Rahim5451-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-201813.814.4-0.6217.417.6-0.25
Kevin Martin6260-0.22-0.280.06-0.04-6-161013.415.3-1.9318.016.31.73
Metta World Peace7372-0.40-0.10-0.300.13-18-4-1414.512.12.4317.915.72.25
Kenny Thomas3030-0.42-0.08-0.350.05-16-6-1015.113.51.6317.017.7-0.69
Brad Miller3435-0.47-0.03-0.440.00-16-6-1014.813.61.2118.217.01.15
Bonzi Wells8078-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.03-16-6-1014.212.71.5717.815.22.69
Mike Bibby8280-0.550.05-0.600.04-20-2-1814.113.50.6017.914.23.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 107, WAS 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
CHI 128, OKC 1000.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
TOR 101, VAN 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%