NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	107		Excitement	3.8 [1015]		MVP	Matt Geiger (CHH): +3.6%
Washington Wizards	92		Comeback	1.8 [347]		LVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): -10.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	8	55%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	88%	0.06	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	15	60%	0.08	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Dell Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
David Wesley	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	12	58%	0.07	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.00	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	17	59%	0.04	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Corey Beck	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Tony Farmer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	45%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Terry Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	9	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Lorenzo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
God Shammgod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	10	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	20	52%	0.04	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.02
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	17	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	13	48%	0.02	7	-0.10	1	100%	-0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	-0.06	9	15%	-0.10	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	33.3	15.7	28.2	2.5	27.3	132.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +34.5%

CHH +3.2%

CHH +16.1%

WAS -4.3%

CHH +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	WAS	NBA	CHH	WAS	NBA
this game	14.6	14.7	15.6	109.2	93.9	102.5
season	15.7	15.1		104.0	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.9		102.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.7	17.4	13.2	14.7	14.6
WAS	13.0	14.7	16.8	14.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	78	78	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.25	31	-16	47	14.7	14.4	0.31	15.0	13.8	1.12
Vlade Divac	60	61	0.46	0.03	0.43	-0.21	23	-8	31	15.3	13.7	1.61	14.8	14.7	0.11
Anthony Mason	83	84	0.45	0.04	0.41	-0.02	16	-1	17	14.0	18.4	-4.44	15.0	13.3	1.70
Glen Rice	69	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.23	18	-3	21	14.9	14.1	0.77	15.0	14.0	1.04
Tony Farmer	29	28	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	12	-9	15.5	14.3	1.19	13.3	15.3	-1.99
Corey Beck	55	55	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	14	-13	13.9	15.6	-1.67	14.5	15.1	-0.66
Matt Geiger	45	45	0.09	0.40	-0.31	0.24	-5	20	-25	15.4	14.0	1.32	14.8	14.7	0.06
Dell Curry	59	58	0.07	0.42	-0.35	0.28	-7	22	-29	14.4	14.9	-0.51	14.6	14.9	-0.35
J.R. Reid	12	11	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	20	-25	14.2	14.7	-0.54	14.8	14.7	0.08

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Murray	40	41	0.11	-0.60	0.71	-0.21	11	-26	37	14.7	14.7	0.01	15.4	14.1	1.24
Harvey Grant	44	42	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.17	6	-21	27	13.8	15.5	-1.68	15.6	13.9	1.71
God Shammgod	5	5	0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-19	23	11.4	14.9	-3.52	16.6	14.5	2.06
Chris Whitney	30	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.15	-6	-9	3	15.4	14.5	0.90	14.8	14.6	0.21
Darvin Ham	35	36	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.10	1	-16	17	15.4	14.4	0.97	13.5	15.3	-1.81
Terry Davis	50	50	-0.11	-0.38	0.27	-0.11	0	-15	15	15.8	13.7	2.11	14.9	14.3	0.61
Juwan Howard	55	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.04	-10	-5	-5	15.0	14.5	0.50	14.2	15.2	-0.94
Lorenzo Williams	32	32	-0.34	-0.15	-0.20	0.10	-15	0	-15	13.5	15.3	-1.80	14.3	14.8	-0.49
Calbert Cheaney	56	55	-0.53	0.04	-0.57	-0.03	-17	2	-19	15.0	14.4	0.55	14.5	14.8	-0.35
Rod Strickland	71	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.00	-19	4	-23	14.7	14.9	-0.20	14.2	15.8	-1.62
Chris Webber	72	72	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	0.20	-30	15	-45	14.5	15.4	-0.92	14.8	14.1	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 105, SAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
CHI 128, OKC 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
BOS 111, NOP 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%