inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 90 Excitement5.4 [719] MVPSteve Kerr (SAS): +34.5%
Dallas Mavericks 78 Comeback16.8 [127] LVPSteve Nash (DAL): -16.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Kerr0.340,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.340.160.180.004150%0.3400.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson0.220,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.160.080.011477%0.241-0.023100%0.01
Steven Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
David Robinson-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.00287%0.052-0.05475%0.01
Kevin Willis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.000.0030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Speedy Claxton-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00837%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.01950%-0.024-0.084100%0.01
Tony Parker-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.0150%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Malik Rose-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.050.00950%-0.062-0.05633%-0.08
Tim Duncan-0.130,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.00-0.012041%-0.024-0.11450%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.021346%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.002100%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00183%0.021-0.02475%0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Walt Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.021557%0.115-0.1300%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.031944%-0.022-0.03540%-0.03
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.01617%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.040.001250%0.014-0.112100%0.01
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.09-0.08-0.011030%-0.102-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.24.326.620.426.44.532.5141.9
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +35.1%
DAL -0.4%
SAS +11.3%
SAS +1.9%
SAS +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game14.816.015.595.783.9101.6
season15.715.1102.5108.6
opponent15.315.4102.096.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.114.513.614.914.8
DAL14.514.919.115.716.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Kerr25230.87-0.371.240.2521-93013.815.2-1.3718.715.13.58
Manu Ginobili57570.65-0.150.810.1517-52214.615.2-0.6316.215.70.41
Malik Rose60600.57-0.070.630.1315-31814.914.60.2516.515.01.50
Tim Duncan88870.55-0.050.590.0218-62414.914.00.8616.410.55.88
Stephen Jackson86850.54-0.040.570.1214-21614.617.5-2.9415.818.1-2.32
Kevin Willis230.020.48-0.46-0.04210-810.514.9-4.4017.715.91.72
Steven Smith330.000.50-0.500.12-416-2011.714.9-3.258.716.2-7.58
Danny Ferry320.000.50-0.500.06-214-1611.714.9-3.255.516.2-10.73
David Robinson3231-0.130.63-0.770.01-517-2215.314.50.8115.116.4-1.31
Tony Parker2525-0.180.68-0.860.02-719-2616.614.22.4416.515.80.71
Speedy Claxton4445-0.190.69-0.88-0.13-214-1614.415.2-0.8414.317.6-3.23
Bruce Bowen4544-0.190.69-0.880.02-719-2615.614.11.5216.215.80.35

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raja Bell30310.22-0.720.94-0.028-202813.617.2-3.5915.514.51.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad230.00-0.500.50-0.062-14165.516.2-10.7311.714.9-3.25
Raef LaFrentz5253-0.10-0.400.310.14-8-4-415.416.8-1.3515.513.91.65
Adrian Griffin2019-0.18-0.320.14-0.06-4-8416.315.90.3814.614.9-0.22
Nick Van Exel7878-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.04-120-1216.115.50.5614.715.4-0.76
Eduardo Najera4546-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.23-7-5-217.214.82.4114.015.6-1.67
Michael Finley9091-0.500.00-0.50-0.03-164-2016.28.77.5814.911.73.25
Steve Nash7775-0.530.03-0.55-0.14-131-1416.314.41.8914.814.9-0.11
Walt Williams7174-0.590.09-0.68-0.30-10-2-816.115.60.5414.715.0-0.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.76,0.68,0.53,0.29,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 91, CHA 820.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.01,0.03,0,093.4%
MIL 101, CHI 920.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.75,0.57,0.63,0.47,0.2,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,092.1%
HOU 93, MEM 860.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.67,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,090.7%