NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	93		Excitement	6.2 [584]		MVP	Omri Casspi (HOU): +23.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	86		Comeback	7.4 [213]		LVP	Jerryd Bayless (MEM): -13.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.13	0.02	6	89%	0.25	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Chandler Parsons	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09	0.10	0.04	0.05	9	94%	0.19	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	61%	0.10	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.03
Omer Asik	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Francisco Garcia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	8	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Brooks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	10	58%	0.05	5	-0.13	6	50%	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.02	0.05	10	73%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	-0.05	14	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.03	0.02	12	54%	0.06	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	12	46%	0.06	4	-0.17	4	75%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	26.6	15.8	22.2	1.8	34.3	127.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.4%

HOU +10.6%

HOU +6.2%

HOU +1.9%

MEM -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	15.1	17.1	15.1	103.3	96.6	105.2
season	14.3	16.4		109.5	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.2		103.4	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.9	14.9	15.2	12.3	15.1
MEM	17.1	16.4	19.0	16.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	40	41	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.40	14	-7	21	14.1	15.9	-1.83	16.2	17.9	-1.73
Omer Asik	42	41	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.41	11	-4	15	14.1	15.9	-1.77	16.2	17.9	-1.68
Omri Casspi	45	45	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.38	11	-4	15	14.3	15.9	-1.56	15.6	18.7	-3.13
Patrick Beverley	73	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.33	5	2	3	15.2	14.6	0.62	17.3	16.4	0.89
Chandler Parsons	67	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	3	1	15.3	14.3	1.00	17.5	16.0	1.43
Aaron Brooks	31	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	6	-5	15.3	15.0	0.31	16.5	17.4	-0.86
Terrence Jones	45	44	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.09	-4	11	-15	15.9	14.3	1.56	18.7	15.6	3.13
Jeremy Lin	59	57	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.12	-3	10	-13	15.2	14.8	0.43	17.4	16.5	0.94
Dwight Howard	48	48	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	11	-15	15.9	14.1	1.77	17.9	16.2	1.68

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	62	63	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.19	7	-14	21	16.1	19.3	-3.20	15.9	13.3	2.61
Kosta Koufos	54	55	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-8	9	18.1	15.6	2.52	15.3	14.7	0.57
Tony Allen	54	56	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-10	13	17.6	16.3	1.39	15.5	14.5	0.99
Zach Randolph	63	65	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-8	9	16.8	17.8	-1.05	15.3	14.5	0.84
Tayshaun Prince	64	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-6	5	17.3	16.5	0.86	15.3	14.5	0.83
Ed Davis	30	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-1	-5	17.5	16.9	0.65	15.1	15.1	-0.03
Jon Leuer	20	20	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	0	-7	16.9	17.2	-0.26	15.1	15.1	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	35	34	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	3	-13	16.3	17.6	-1.39	14.5	15.5	-0.99
Mike Miller	36	37	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	2	-11	15.5	18.2	-2.74	13.9	15.9	-1.94
Nick Calathes	27	27	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.10	-14	7	-21	19.3	16.1	3.20	13.3	15.9	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.67,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 95, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.69,0.81,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.47,0.41,0.2,0.28,0.14,0.07,0,0,0	92.0%
GSW 99, MIN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.19,0.14,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	92.0%
MIL 101, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.75,0.57,0.63,0.47,0.2,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0	91.9%