NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	91		Excitement	3.0 [1171]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +10.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	119		Comeback	1.0 [596]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -11.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.03	-0.05	4	25%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	5	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	5	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	8	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	19	57%	0.01	4	-0.09	9	78%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	28	42%	-0.04	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	-0.00	0.07	21	73%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	0.01	0.09	16	77%	0.11	2	-0.03	16	94%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	7	36%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	67%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	64%	0.04	5	-0.05	11	82%	-0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.8	34.0	19.8	27.1	3.8	34.3	148.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +46.3%

MIN +0.3%

MIN +1.9%

MIN +1.5%

LAL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.7	14.0	15.5	93.8	122.7	101.6
season	15.4	14.9		105.0	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.1		102.3	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.6	18.2	15.4	11.8	15.7
MIN	12.4	13.7	13.4	16.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	6	5	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-28	28	23.5	15.2	8.34	15.0	14.0	1.04
Slava Medvedenko	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-22	16	11.2	15.9	-4.62	15.5	13.9	1.55
Jannero Pargo	32	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.23	-8	-20	12	14.2	16.4	-2.18	16.7	12.6	4.07
Kareem Rush	25	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-30	32	12.3	16.8	-4.53	17.4	12.8	4.62
Devean George	35	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.24	-9	-19	10	15.5	15.8	-0.22	14.3	13.8	0.52
Brian Shaw	1	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-27	26	18.0	15.7	2.34	26.0	13.8	12.24
Robert Horry	60	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-25	22	14.1	18.2	-4.10	15.0	12.4	2.59
Mark Madsen	48	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.37	-25	-3	-22	16.6	14.8	1.87	12.8	15.3	-2.54
Rick Fox	39	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.19	-22	-6	-16	17.7	14.3	3.45	11.5	15.7	-4.26
Kobe Bryant	94	93	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.29	-26	-2	-24	15.7	13.7	2.08	13.8	19.5	-5.73
Derek Fisher	65	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.09	-20	-8	-12	16.4	14.2	2.18	12.6	16.7	-4.07
Shaquille O'Neal	76	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.12	-22	-6	-16	15.9	14.8	1.17	13.9	14.4	-0.53

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	86	85	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.34	30	-2	32	13.8	15.8	-2.04	16.0	13.3	2.68
Anthony Peeler	73	71	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.50	35	-7	42	13.8	14.7	-0.87	15.7	15.5	0.19
Troy Hudson	73	74	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.41	31	-3	34	13.1	16.8	-3.70	15.9	15.1	0.78
Wally Szczerbiak	83	84	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.30	27	1	26	13.7	16.1	-2.49	15.8	14.8	0.96
Marc Jackson	51	50	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.24	18	10	8	14.8	13.2	1.63	14.6	16.8	-2.23
Rasho Nesterovic	46	47	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	18	-8	13.2	14.8	-1.63	16.8	14.6	2.23
Rod Strickland	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	32	-36	17.1	13.1	4.04	15.4	15.7	-0.32
Mike Wilks	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	13.0	14.0	-1.03	11.5	15.8	-4.27
Loren Woods	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	13.0	14.0	-1.03	11.5	15.8	-4.27
Kendall Gill	33	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.19	-7	35	-42	15.2	13.4	1.78	14.7	16.2	-1.46
Gary Trent	14	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	30	-32	16.1	13.7	2.41	15.5	15.7	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 84, BKN 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
LAC 81, GSW 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
WAS 82, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%