NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	85		Excitement	5.1 [773]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (PHI): +3.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	1.4 [877]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): -13.2%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Magloire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	75%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.06	9	71%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
George Lynch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.04	21	52%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
P.J. Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.02	6	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	11	45%	-0.07	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	59%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	65%	0.04	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	27	44%	-0.03	3	-0.07	12	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.3	32.5	18.8	30.2	3.7	31.4	146.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +14.0%

PHI +1.5%

PHI +20.7%

PHI +8.7%

PHI +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHI	NBA	NOH	PHI	NBA
this game	16.6	16.3	15.5	96.6	103.4	101.6
season	15.9	15.3		101.6	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.6		99.9	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.6	17.3	15.8	18.1	16.6
PHI	13.2	14.7	17.0	21.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Pack	33	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.30	9	-14	23	17.8	15.8	2.03	16.8	16.0	0.80
Jamal Mashburn	66	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-5	5	16.1	18.0	-1.95	15.9	17.5	-1.56
Jamaal Magloire	60	60	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-4	3	17.3	15.0	2.26	15.3	18.5	-3.17
Robert Traylor	43	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-2	-1	16.0	17.2	-1.22	16.7	16.0	0.74
George Lynch	48	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-6	7	15.2	18.2	-3.06	17.6	14.9	2.65
Kenny Anderson	20	20	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	7	-19	16.2	16.7	-0.43	14.5	16.9	-2.32
Stacey Augmon	37	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	5	-15	16.6	16.6	-0.02	16.9	15.9	1.02
P.J. Brown	49	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	1	-7	17.8	15.0	2.84	16.5	16.2	0.28
David Wesley	84	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-2	-1	16.4	20.0	-3.58	16.4	14.5	1.88

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	58	57	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-6	17	17.0	15.1	1.90	16.5	16.7	-0.25
Kenny Thomas	72	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	1	3	16.5	15.6	0.89	16.0	19.1	-3.07
Eric Snow	61	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	1	3	16.1	16.9	-0.79	17.3	15.0	2.30
Allen Iverson	79	80	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.44	-3	8	-11	16.7	13.1	3.53	16.5	16.9	-0.32
Derrick Coleman	67	69	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	5	-5	16.8	14.8	1.93	17.4	13.6	3.76
Monty Williams	20	20	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	-5	15	16.0	16.4	-0.43	15.3	17.0	-1.66
Tyrone Hill	13	13	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	0	5	14.8	16.6	-1.84	15.2	16.8	-1.67
Greg Buckner	17	18	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	4	-3	14.8	16.7	-1.88	17.8	16.3	1.51
Keith Van Horn	48	50	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.11	-7	12	-19	15.6	17.3	-1.67	16.1	17.3	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	94.4%
VAN 89, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.97,1,1	94.2%
CLE 82, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%