NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	5.4 [747]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +6.8%
Toronto Raptors	103		Comeback	1.5 [1177]		LVP	Jerian Grant (NYK): -13.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.01	0.04	17	54%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.06	10	59%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Lou Amundson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Robin Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	12	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	13	31%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	0.08	8	52%	-0.07	2	-0.06	9	44%	-0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	16	65%	0.12	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	83%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	18	59%	0.12	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	5	70%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
James Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	10%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	0.03	16	31%	-0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	3.3	32.3	17.4	27.6	3.3	31.6	137.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +17.3%

TOR +10.6%

TOR +15.7%

TOR +6.4%

TOR +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	16.9	15.0	14.9	103.3	113.2	105.1
season	15.6	16.1		103.5	107.2
opponent	14.8	14.8		104.6	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.8	15.6	18.0	17.2	16.9
TOR	13.2	15.7	16.2	14.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	36	36	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.18	10	-20	30	16.6	17.1	-0.49	15.8	14.4	1.41
Robin Lopez	45	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-10	10	17.9	15.9	2.02	15.6	14.3	1.32
Lance Thomas	49	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-6	2	17.0	16.7	0.31	15.6	14.3	1.24
Lou Amundson	15	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	-5	0	18.2	16.6	1.59	13.7	15.3	-1.61
Kevin Seraphin	30	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-2	-6	15.5	17.6	-2.12	13.2	15.8	-2.62
Arron Afflalo	71	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-6	2	17.5	14.4	3.18	15.2	14.2	0.97
Jerian Grant	46	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-6	2	16.2	17.6	-1.35	14.8	15.1	-0.26
Langston Galloway	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	0	-10	17.1	16.4	0.63	14.9	15.2	-0.31
Sasha Vujacic	45	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	1	-12	16.9	16.8	0.07	14.2	15.7	-1.49
Derrick Williams	52	52	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.12	-14	4	-18	15.9	18.2	-2.31	15.3	14.5	0.87

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	55	55	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.09	21	-11	32	14.3	15.9	-1.64	17.6	15.8	1.76
Terrence Ross	42	43	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.01	23	-13	36	13.9	15.9	-2.04	18.3	15.6	2.64
Kyle Lowry	77	77	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.06	15	-5	20	15.0	14.7	0.29	17.6	12.3	5.34
Bismack Biyombo	36	36	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.12	12	-2	14	14.7	15.1	-0.34	18.4	15.8	2.61
DeMar DeRozan	69	67	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	7	-4	15.3	14.0	1.26	16.4	18.3	-1.92
Cory Joseph	47	46	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	10	-10	14.9	15.1	-0.22	15.6	18.2	-2.60
Norman Powell	7	6	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	9	-8	18.0	14.7	3.30	17.3	16.8	0.49
Jonas Valanciunas	55	54	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	12	-14	15.1	14.7	0.34	15.8	18.4	-2.61
Luis Scola	36	35	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.12	-11	21	-32	15.9	14.3	1.64	15.8	17.6	-1.76
James Johnson	31	31	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.10	-12	22	-34	15.1	14.9	0.26	15.9	17.4	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 97, DET 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
NOH 85, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.4%
LAL 85, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%