NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	96		Excitement	2.3 [1232]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +6.0%
New Jersey Nets	109		Comeback	1.0 [1126]		LVP	Gary Payton (MIL): -17.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	11	48%	0.03	0	0.00	7	57%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	12	67%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	9	78%	0.07	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	12	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.15	-0.01	0.21	14	81%	-0.04	2	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04
Gary Payton	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.00	0.01	11	33%	-0.09	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	15	58%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	10	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	70%	0.08	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	72%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	16	60%	0.05	4	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	10	46%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.7	30.4	18.4	26.5	3.5	26.7	130.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +27.7%

NJN +2.6%

NJN +14.1%

NJN +5.5%

NJN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	16.2	15.5	106.7	118.5	101.6
season	15.4	15.0		106.3	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.8		96.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.6	14.2	16.8	15.2	15.5
NJN	12.7	17.1	14.5	21.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-20	27	13.2	15.6	-2.46	19.8	15.9	3.91
Anthony Mason	35	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-13	13	14.2	16.3	-2.07	18.2	14.9	3.27
Michael Redd	41	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-5	-3	13.7	16.9	-3.23	17.0	15.5	1.43
Marcus Haislip	34	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-15	17	15.6	15.4	0.15	15.2	16.7	-1.54
Ervin Johnson	30	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-1	-11	17.9	14.2	3.70	14.8	16.9	-2.11
Desmond Mason	62	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-19	25	16.2	13.9	2.23	16.1	16.2	-0.11
Tim Thomas	56	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-10	7	14.3	17.3	-2.98	18.2	12.9	5.22
Sam Cassell	58	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.33	-24	11	-35	16.4	13.8	2.52	14.3	19.7	-5.39
Toni Kukoc	57	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.35	-25	12	-37	15.3	15.8	-0.46	14.9	18.2	-3.27
Gary Payton	71	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	-5	-3	15.9	13.8	2.06	16.5	15.0	1.48

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	68	68	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-6	25	15.2	19.0	-3.77	15.7	14.8	0.86
Kenyon Martin	68	65	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.27	24	-11	35	15.3	18.7	-3.49	16.1	13.8	2.31
Jason Collins	55	54	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.39	26	-13	39	14.0	19.5	-5.50	16.0	14.7	1.33
Jason Kidd	73	70	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.21	20	-7	27	15.4	19.2	-3.76	16.2	13.0	3.11
Kerry Kittles	59	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	6	1	15.1	18.2	-3.13	15.6	15.2	0.42
Lucious Harris	47	47	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	12	-11	18.4	13.8	4.65	14.4	16.6	-2.18
Dikembe Mutombo	31	30	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.30	-6	19	-25	19.4	14.5	4.85	15.0	15.7	-0.75
Rodney Rogers	43	43	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.51	-15	28	-43	18.8	13.9	4.91	14.3	16.5	-2.14
Tamar Slay	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	19.4	16.0	3.41	13.5	15.6	-2.06
Aaron Williams	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	19.8	15.9	3.91	13.2	15.6	-2.46
Brian Scalabrine	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	19.4	16.0	3.41	13.5	15.6	-2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 92, SAS 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
BKN 105, BOS 121	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
DEN 76, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%