NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	77		Excitement	4.1 [973]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +3.6%
Detroit Pistons	89		Comeback	1.0 [1093]		LVP	Gordan Giricek (ORL): -13.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	4	82%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeryl Sasser	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.12	-0.04	0.10	26	73%	0.16	7	-0.18	11	91%	0.03
Darrell Armstrong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	5	36%	-0.07	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.20	-0.02	-0.08	11	9%	-0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	16	67%	0.10	3	-0.06	13	77%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	14	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	3	25%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	12	42%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	53%	-0.01	2	-0.03	7	29%	-0.02
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	65%	0.02	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	31.6	17.0	30.0	2.8	36.4	145.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +25.3%

DET +1.2%

DET +23.0%

ORL -1.8%

DET +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	DET	NBA	ORL	DET	NBA
this game	15.1	17.8	15.5	88.5	101.1	101.6
season	14.6	16.8		102.7	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.8		97.8	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.5	14.9	15.3	14.7	15.1
DET	14.0	19.4	19.0	19.6	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	25	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.19	6	-18	24	15.2	15.1	0.14	19.4	17.0	2.34
Jeryl Sasser	5	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-10	8	14.6	15.1	-0.53	21.5	17.5	3.98
Steven Hunter	4	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-11	10	15.2	15.1	0.15	17.7	17.8	-0.13
Pat Burke	6	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-9	6	16.0	15.0	0.96	15.1	18.0	-2.88
Darrell Armstrong	53	52	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.33	8	-20	28	14.8	15.6	-0.75	19.8	14.8	5.01
Shawn Kemp	27	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-10	8	15.1	15.1	0.01	19.1	17.2	1.84
Chris Whitney	23	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-1	-10	14.3	15.4	-1.09	15.8	18.5	-2.73
Jacque Vaughn	51	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-9	6	15.6	14.4	1.27	17.4	18.4	-0.91
Drew Gooden	66	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-7	2	15.6	13.6	1.96	18.3	16.2	2.05
Gordan Giricek	47	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	4	-20	14.7	15.6	-0.92	16.3	19.5	-3.21
Pat Garrity	46	43	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.12	-19	7	-26	14.9	15.3	-0.40	15.8	19.7	-3.97
Tracy McGrady	82	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	0	-12	15.1	15.4	-0.31	17.8	17.6	0.21

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	81	79	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.01	20	-8	28	17.7	19.3	-1.62	15.4	12.4	3.00
Richard Hamilton	65	65	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.08	20	-8	28	17.3	19.2	-1.93	15.6	13.6	1.96
Michael Curry	49	48	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	2	8	17.4	18.3	-0.92	15.6	14.4	1.21
Chauncey Billups	53	53	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	4	4	17.4	18.3	-0.91	15.5	14.5	1.04
Clifford Robinson	59	56	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	3	6	17.4	18.6	-1.18	15.5	14.4	1.11
Chucky Atkins	36	35	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.14	2	10	-8	18.1	17.6	0.49	14.1	15.8	-1.75
Tayshaun Prince	30	30	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	9	-6	19.0	17.2	1.78	14.5	15.4	-0.87
Mehmet Okur	13	14	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	8	-4	16.2	18.1	-1.93	15.3	15.1	0.22
Corliss Williamson	24	25	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	12	-12	19.4	17.2	2.17	14.4	15.4	-1.04
Jon Barry	23	22	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.23	-8	20	-28	19.2	17.3	1.93	13.6	15.6	-1.96
Zeljko Rebraca	7	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.14	-8	20	-28	19.3	17.7	1.62	12.4	15.4	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 89, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.5%
ORL 74, BKN 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.98,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.98,1	95.4%
TOR 104, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1	94.9%