NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	85		Excitement	7.2 [384]		MVP	Tony Battie (BOS): +17.9%
Boston Celtics	93		Comeback	3.5 [386]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -20.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	8	80%	0.25	3	-0.17	4	100%	0.04
Derrick Coleman	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	10	65%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.18	-0.03	-0.06	13	23%	-0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.17,-0.2	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	30	41%	-0.17	1	-0.04	10	60%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	5	100%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	4	83%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	13	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.35,-0.39,-0.46,-0.41,-0.41,-0.33,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	0.06	0.01	19	49%	0.15	6	-0.24	13	85%	0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	21	55%	0.00	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	512.2	3.0	30.2	19.7	24.2	3.4	40.4	633.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +48.6%

PHI -2.5%

PHI -2.0%

BOS +4.8%

BOS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.6	93.4	102.2	102.3
season	15.9	15.0		99.3	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.6		98.8	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.1	19.1	17.1	12.3	15.8
BOS	15.9	17.9	15.6	14.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	42	41	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.16	1	-9	10	17.5	14.4	3.03	15.5	16.0	-0.53
Speedy Claxton	27	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-10	12	15.3	16.1	-0.73	17.0	15.3	1.71
Derrick Coleman	75	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-12	16	15.7	16.4	-0.72	16.1	14.3	1.85
Corie Blount	33	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-3	-2	15.8	15.9	-0.09	16.1	15.6	0.50
Aaron McKie	53	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-6	4	14.2	18.1	-3.92	15.9	15.6	0.30
Dikembe Mutombo	71	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	3	-14	16.4	13.8	2.62	15.8	15.8	-0.06
Eric Snow	71	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.15	-14	6	-20	16.2	14.5	1.73	15.5	17.0	-1.49
Allen Iverson	83	84	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.42	-15	7	-22	15.6	18.9	-3.32	15.3	21.4	-6.10

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	57	55	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.24	20	-12	32	14.8	17.6	-2.80	15.7	16.1	-0.44
Antoine Walker	85	83	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-1	10	16.0	12.8	3.18	16.3	11.4	4.90
Kenny Anderson	66	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.37	2	6	-4	15.9	15.6	0.22	15.3	17.3	-1.98
Tony Battie	58	61	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.35	-2	10	-12	16.3	14.9	1.40	15.6	16.3	-0.68
Paul Pierce	72	73	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.27	1	7	-6	15.7	16.4	-0.72	15.6	16.7	-1.02
Erick Strickland	31	30	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.15	12	-4	16	13.7	16.9	-3.12	15.6	16.0	-0.37
Rodney Rogers	34	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	3	2	15.9	15.8	0.13	16.0	15.8	0.25
Eric Williams	52	53	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.00	-7	15	-22	17.3	13.7	3.60	16.6	14.8	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.67,0.58,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.53,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 90, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.74,0.64,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.67,0.98,1	90.0%
MIN 101, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.66,0.45,0.37,0.57,0.85,1	89.8%
IND 110, DET 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.68,0.92,1	89.8%