NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Excitement	8.6 [170]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +34.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	105		Comeback	1.8 [717]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -45.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.23	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23	0.13	0.12	0.02	18	65%	0.27	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Mo Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.15	0.09	0.07	0.00	9	82%	0.23	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.11	0.00	10	54%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Gorgui Dieng	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	8	50%	0.10	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Andrew Wiggins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Chase Budinger	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	0.00	-0.01	9	25%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.45	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.37,-0.45,-0.45	-0.14	-0.30	0.01	12	44%	-0.13	7	-0.32	3	67%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.35	0.35	0.16	0.18	-0.00	17	73%	0.48	3	-0.14	10	80%	0.06
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.10	0.03	16	76%	0.32	5	-0.16	1	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.01	2	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	14	52%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	7	25%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	11	58%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.3	27.4	15.5	23.5	1.8	39.1	136.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +10.8%

MEM +24.4%

MIN -16.3%

MEM +29.5%

MEM +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	14.7	15.0	15.1	104.1	108.2	104.2
season	15.0	15.9		101.2	103.8
opponent	15.2	15.0		100.8	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.8	14.3	13.3	15.6	14.7
MEM	14.9	12.8	14.9	17.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	39	38	0.26	-0.76	1.01	-0.12	13	-17	30	14.9	14.5	0.34	15.8	14.5	1.31
Shabazz Muhammad	44	45	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.11	4	-8	12	14.5	14.8	-0.39	14.7	15.3	-0.58
Anthony Bennett	26	28	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-6	8	15.7	14.3	1.45	15.7	14.7	0.98
Chase Budinger	29	30	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-3	2	16.2	14.0	2.14	14.9	15.1	-0.13
Andrew Wiggins	39	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	0	-4	14.6	14.7	-0.18	15.0	15.0	0.01
Mo Williams	51	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.53	10	-14	24	14.7	14.7	-0.01	16.2	13.8	2.43
Ricky Rubio	73	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.44	-5	1	-6	14.4	15.5	-1.05	14.8	15.7	-0.94
Thaddeus Young	71	69	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.46	-6	2	-8	14.3	15.7	-1.45	14.7	15.7	-0.98
Nikola Pekovic	58	59	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.26	-17	13	-30	14.5	14.9	-0.34	14.5	15.8	-1.31
Corey Brewer	55	55	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.30	-16	12	-28	14.5	14.9	-0.46	14.6	15.6	-1.06

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	67	70	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.39	15	-11	26	14.8	15.4	-0.60	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Marc Gasol	76	74	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.42	9	-5	14	15.2	14.5	0.63	14.4	15.7	-1.29
Courtney Lee	73	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.42	8	-4	12	14.8	15.7	-0.91	14.5	15.1	-0.55
Zach Randolph	70	70	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-7	18	14.8	15.6	-0.74	14.7	14.7	-0.05
Tony Allen	64	67	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-6	16	15.2	14.7	0.49	14.8	14.5	0.29
Kosta Koufos	10	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	6	-8	15.2	15.0	0.20	15.0	14.6	0.37
Vince Carter	33	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	9	-14	15.9	14.6	1.35	15.1	14.5	0.63
Quincy Pondexter	24	26	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	11	-18	14.0	15.3	-1.30	13.6	15.1	-1.49
Jon Leuer	38	38	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.01	-8	12	-20	15.1	15.0	0.10	15.5	14.1	1.36
Beno Udrih	30	27	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.01	-11	15	-26	15.4	14.8	0.60	14.9	14.6	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.66,0.45,0.37,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.65,0.74,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.76,0.68,0.53,0.71,0.54,0.69,0.46,0.68,0.74,1	91.3%
CHI 87, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.77,0.98,1	91.1%
BOS 106, VAN 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.53,0.69,0.59,0.33,0.47,0.37,0.47,0.73,1	90.9%