NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	87		Excitement	7.0 [390]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +13.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	1.2 [803]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -27.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	15	72%	0.21	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Dell Curry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	70%	0.15	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	8	61%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Morris Peterson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	11	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	9	55%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Vince Carter	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2	-0.05	-0.15	0.00	18	44%	-0.20	0	0.00	9	89%	0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	16	58%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	9	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.07
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	7	42%	-0.08	4	-0.12	10	60%	-0.05
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.27	-0.27	-0.18	-0.12	-0.03	27	36%	-0.16	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.3	33.4	21.8	31.0	2.8	37.0	155.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -7.9%

PHI +2.2%

PHI +38.5%

PHI +4.8%

PHI +12.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	16.4	16.9	15.5	98.9	103.5	100.9
season	15.8	15.7		103.7	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.4		97.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.8	16.6	15.4	18.1	16.4
PHI	13.0	16.9	16.7	22.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	38	36	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	2	-5	15.6	17.0	-1.43	15.7	17.9	-2.21
Antonio Davis	74	73	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.38	11	-12	23	16.1	17.5	-1.35	17.6	12.8	4.78
Dell Curry	31	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.41	7	-8	15	16.1	16.5	-0.41	19.5	15.6	3.86
Chris Childs	42	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	0	-1	17.3	15.5	1.86	16.9	17.0	-0.03
Jerome Williams	29	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	3	-7	16.7	16.2	0.54	17.8	16.6	1.23
Vince Carter	88	85	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	16.4	0.0	16.36	16.9	0.0	16.94
Alvin Williams	65	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	4	-9	16.3	16.4	-0.10	16.5	18.2	-1.72
Charles Oakley	73	70	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.42	-9	8	-17	16.4	16.0	0.44	15.9	21.7	-5.82

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	58	61	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.45	13	-12	25	17.4	16.0	1.38	16.9	15.1	1.75
Allen Iverson	85	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	16.9	0.0	16.94	16.4	0.0	16.36
Dikembe Mutombo	80	82	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.48	-1	2	-3	17.1	14.6	2.49	16.5	13.8	2.72
Aaron McKie	80	83	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.49	-3	4	-7	17.0	15.6	1.43	16.1	21.0	-4.92
Tyrone Hill	49	51	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.30	-1	2	-3	17.4	16.4	1.01	15.9	17.0	-1.14
Jumaine Jones	56	58	0.17	0.34	-0.17	0.17	0	1	-1	16.1	18.6	-2.50	16.5	16.1	0.35
Rodney Buford	5	5	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	-4	9	12.6	17.2	-4.61	21.4	16.1	5.34
Todd MacCulloch	4	4	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	-2	5	11.7	17.2	-5.45	13.7	16.5	-2.74
Kevin Ollie	8	8	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.07	-12	13	-25	20.1	16.6	3.51	13.6	16.6	-3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 96, PHX 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.55,0.79,0.91,0.98,1	93.2%
ORL 87, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.97,0.9,1	93.1%
ATL 82, DEN 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.84,1	93.1%