NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	92		Excitement	6.3 [522]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): +21.2%
Charlotte Hornets	102		Comeback	2.9 [491]		LVP	Lindsey Hunter (MIL): -13.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.02	22	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.03	10	59%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darvin Ham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ray Allen	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.06	0.02	18	53%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	23	72%	0.29	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.05
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	-0.03	12	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.02
David Wesley	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	13	50%	-0.03	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	8	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	12	53%	-0.06	2	-0.06	8	37%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.7	30.3	19.8	31.1	2.7	32.2	142.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +26.1%

CHH +3.6%

CHH +30.5%

MIL -12.7%

CHH +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHH	NBA	MIL	CHH	NBA
this game	15.3	15.3	15.5	97.9	108.5	100.9
season	14.9	15.8		105.9	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.8		97.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.3	13.6	17.1	14.3	15.3
CHH	15.0	15.8	12.9	17.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	34	33	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-11	12	16.8	14.5	2.25	14.5	15.7	-1.22
Ervin Johnson	42	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-13	16	14.5	16.0	-1.50	15.6	15.0	0.64
Ray Allen	82	82	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-8	6	15.4	15.2	0.19	15.7	12.8	2.84
Scott Williams	46	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-1	-8	16.2	14.5	1.61	14.9	15.7	-0.72
Lindsey Hunter	34	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-4	-2	13.7	16.2	-2.50	14.8	15.6	-0.76
Glenn Robinson	78	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.20	-14	4	-18	15.7	13.5	2.21	14.5	19.1	-4.65

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Robinson	39	42	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	-1	12	15.9	14.9	1.09	13.8	16.6	-2.83
P.J. Brown	78	77	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.15	12	-2	14	15.4	14.9	0.45	15.6	14.1	1.55
Jamal Mashburn	85	85	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-1	12	14.5	22.8	-8.26	15.6	13.1	2.45
Jamaal Magloire	31	34	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.10	13	-3	16	14.4	15.7	-1.33	16.6	14.6	1.97
Baron Davis	74	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	3	4	15.4	15.1	0.20	15.8	13.5	2.33
David Wesley	85	84	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	9	-8	15.8	10.6	5.26	15.3	15.5	-0.19
Elden Campbell	62	58	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	13	-16	15.7	14.6	1.13	14.8	16.2	-1.49
Otis Thorpe	16	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	12	-14	14.9	15.4	-0.45	14.1	15.6	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.56,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 99, CLE 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.5%
PHX 94, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
MIA 89, IND 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%