NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	79		Excitement	2.1 [1227]		MVP	Eddie Robinson (CHH): +7.2%
Charlotte Hornets	94		Comeback	1.1 [884]		LVP	Anthony Carter (MIA): -9.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.13	-0.00	0.10	14	73%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	14	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Dan Majerle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	57%	-0.01	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Eddie House	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	18	36%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	-0.08	8	43%	0.00	2	-0.04	12	50%	-0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	70%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.04	14	55%	0.04	1	-0.00	10	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	15	62%	0.06	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	14	48%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	5	42%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	54%	0.00	2	-0.03	10	70%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	8	28%	-0.03	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	30.4	19.0	29.1	2.8	35.0	144.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +22.7%

CHH +6.9%

CHH +4.9%

CHH +14.3%

CHH +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CHH	NBA	MIA	CHH	NBA
this game	15.2	16.3	15.5	84.9	104.4	100.9
season	16.3	15.8		98.4	99.7
opponent	15.6	16.1		97.0	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.6	17.0	14.6	15.7	15.2
CHH	15.3	14.3	19.0	17.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.C. Green	16	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-12	9	15.1	15.2	-0.12	17.9	16.1	1.80
Cedric Ceballos	7	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-8	1	20.4	14.7	5.70	15.7	16.4	-0.67
Bruce Bowen	39	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-15	15	14.6	15.6	-0.98	16.6	16.2	0.42
Dan Majerle	53	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-11	7	15.5	14.7	0.77	16.7	15.8	0.85
Anthony Carter	35	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-11	7	14.7	15.4	-0.72	16.2	16.4	-0.20
Alonzo Mourning	71	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.30	2	-17	19	14.7	16.6	-1.93	17.2	13.5	3.73
Eddie House	58	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-4	-7	15.4	14.7	0.72	16.4	16.2	0.20
Eddie Jones	77	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-6	-3	14.7	17.2	-2.52	16.4	16.2	0.14
Brian Grant	52	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-3	-9	15.0	15.3	-0.32	15.4	17.6	-2.22

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	75	77	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.05	14	1	13	16.1	17.4	-1.28	14.9	16.5	-1.62
Jamal Mashburn	82	86	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.06	12	3	9	16.5	15.0	1.46	15.3	13.9	1.41
Baron Davis	82	84	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	5	5	16.2	17.2	-1.01	14.6	20.1	-5.48
Derrick Coleman	45	45	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.19	19	-4	23	15.0	17.6	-2.62	15.5	14.8	0.68
David Wesley	63	64	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	8	-1	16.5	15.9	0.63	14.5	16.7	-2.22
Eddie Robinson	44	46	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	11	-7	17.3	15.4	1.97	15.9	14.4	1.53
Hersey Hawkins	16	16	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	7	1	16.1	16.4	-0.25	17.4	14.7	2.67
Jamaal Magloire	14	14	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	11	-7	15.5	16.5	-0.99	13.2	15.5	-2.29
Elden Campbell	29	33	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.14	-3	18	-21	17.4	15.8	1.54	16.4	14.5	1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 94, POR 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
UTA 77, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
NOH 70, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%