NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	2.1 [1252]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): +9.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	118		Comeback	1.1 [1257]		LVP	Ricky Davis (CLE): -8.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	9	64%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Smush Parker	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	59%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	11	37%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dajuan Wagner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	15	47%	-0.06	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	17	47%	-0.06	5	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.02	8	89%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	82%	0.08	3	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	15	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	60%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	55%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	5	60%	0.02	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	40%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	9	74%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	12	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	27.2	15.4	29.4	2.5	24.5	124.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +41.0%

POR +6.1%

CLE -3.4%

POR +3.5%

POR +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	POR	NBA	CLE	POR	NBA
this game	15.4	14.8	15.5	97.9	124.2	101.6
season	15.1	16.0		94.6	104.3
opponent	15.7	14.9		101.8	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	18.7	13.9	14.2	15.4
POR	15.6	14.0	13.8	15.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	9	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-24	24	11.7	15.7	-4.07	16.7	14.6	2.13
Chris Mihm	23	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-24	24	15.2	15.4	-0.24	15.2	14.7	0.49
DeSagana Diop	38	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.09	-3	-21	18	15.6	15.2	0.37	15.8	14.1	1.65
Milt Palacio	39	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-21	18	15.3	15.4	-0.12	15.6	14.2	1.34
Carlos Boozer	60	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.18	-14	-10	-4	13.8	17.9	-4.01	14.5	15.4	-0.90
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	33	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.18	-15	-9	-6	16.6	14.7	1.91	14.9	14.8	0.11
Darius Miles	42	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.23	-17	-7	-10	16.8	14.3	2.50	14.5	15.0	-0.48
Smush Parker	46	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.22	-17	-7	-10	15.5	15.2	0.32	13.6	15.9	-2.27
Dajuan Wagner	62	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-10	-4	15.7	14.8	0.91	15.2	14.1	1.11
Ricky Davis	75	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.26	-20	-4	-16	14.5	18.5	-4.06	14.8	14.9	-0.13
Jumaine Jones	53	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.15	-17	-7	-10	16.5	14.0	2.54	14.2	15.5	-1.35

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	71	72	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.16	16	8	8	14.5	15.5	-0.99	15.2	15.7	-0.42
Rasheed Wallace	48	48	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.24	18	6	12	14.1	15.5	-1.45	15.2	15.5	-0.37
Dale Davis	50	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.29	19	5	14	14.2	15.4	-1.22	14.9	15.9	-0.97
Antonio Daniels	43	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.03	10	14	-4	15.0	14.7	0.28	15.4	15.3	0.16
Scottie Pippen	52	52	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.21	16	8	8	14.6	15.1	-0.49	14.7	16.1	-1.40
Jeff McInnis	43	44	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	16	-8	15.1	14.6	0.49	16.1	14.7	1.40
Derek Anderson	52	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	10	4	14.7	15.0	-0.28	15.3	15.4	-0.16
Arvydas Sabonis	18	19	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	14	-4	15.4	14.7	0.73	19.1	14.4	4.61
Zach Randolph	47	48	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	18	-12	15.5	14.1	1.45	15.5	15.2	0.37
Qyntel Woods	51	52	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	21	-18	15.5	14.0	1.53	14.6	16.2	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 79, CHH 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
LAC 105, PHX 134	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
IND 80, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%