inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 77 Excitement2.2 [1239] MVPMichael Finley (DAL): +7.1%
Dallas Mavericks 101 Comeback1.2 [1177] LVPKarl Malone (UTA): -10.8%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scott Padgett0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.03658%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Greg Ostertag0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Stockton-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.02558%0.022-0.02250%-0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.000,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.01650%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.06950%-0.013-0.00475%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.000.05761%-0.0200.00475%-0.00
Mark Jackson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.04647%-0.033-0.00333%-0.01
Tony Massenburg-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01250%0.012-0.0400%0.00
John Amaechi-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.0440%-0.0410.0000%0.00
Matt Harpring-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.000.01844%-0.033-0.052100%0.01
Karl Malone-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.000.021642%-0.092-0.02667%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.00-0.031254%0.0700.002100%0.01
Steve Nash0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.02780%0.052-0.011100%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02765%0.0300.003100%0.01
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.00-0.06637%0.0200.00450%-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.000.031562%0.052-0.04475%-0.01
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.021267%0.023-0.0100%0.00
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.090.00-0.09531%0.002-0.00367%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.000.02362%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.05950%0.014-0.042100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.82.026.015.825.92.026.4120.9
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +34.9%
DAL +2.5%
DAL +3.0%
DAL +8.4%
DAL +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADALNBAUTADALNBA
this game14.716.315.582.8108.6101.6
season16.315.1103.1108.6
opponent15.315.3102.0101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA14.518.214.112.214.7
DAL15.514.516.618.316.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Ostertag3130-0.01-0.490.48-0.072-262814.514.8-0.3217.315.81.57
John Amaechi3840-0.07-0.430.350.01-3-211814.115.1-1.0516.715.90.76
John Stockton3736-0.15-0.350.210.03-6-181214.914.60.3215.816.5-0.71
Carlos Arroyo3942-0.16-0.340.190.08-8-16814.115.2-1.1216.715.90.81
Andrei Kirilenko4443-0.19-0.310.12-0.07-4-201614.414.9-0.5117.215.41.79
Calbert Cheaney4847-0.19-0.310.120.19-13-11-214.315.1-0.8416.016.5-0.46
Mark Jackson1715-0.20-0.300.110.10-10-14415.814.51.3016.116.3-0.24
Tony Massenburg1614-0.27-0.23-0.040.14-14-10-414.714.70.0615.016.5-1.49
Matt Harpring5050-0.30-0.20-0.110.08-13-11-214.814.60.1815.617.1-1.49
Karl Malone4950-0.31-0.19-0.120.28-20-4-1614.914.40.5115.417.2-1.79
DeShawn Stevenson4951-0.32-0.18-0.130.18-17-7-1015.114.30.7716.016.5-0.51
Scott Padgett4747-0.33-0.17-0.170.08-14-10-415.314.11.1716.815.71.09

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eduardo Najera64620.370.130.24-0.131771016.515.70.7915.313.41.92
Dirk Nowitzki50500.350.150.20-0.242041615.717.0-1.3214.514.9-0.39
Michael Finley58600.340.160.17-0.161771016.216.3-0.1215.313.61.65
Nick Van Exel39390.320.180.14-0.181771015.317.0-1.7015.913.92.02
Raef LaFrentz37360.280.220.05-0.051113-214.917.1-2.2015.814.01.76
Raja Bell61620.250.250.010.05717-1017.314.23.0814.016.2-2.24
Shawn Bradley32340.220.28-0.05-0.281771016.316.30.0215.214.40.85
Adrian Griffin53510.190.31-0.11-0.161212016.016.6-0.5813.915.6-1.68
Steve Nash32320.180.32-0.14-0.141113-215.816.5-0.7414.814.60.17
Avery Johnson22220.000.50-0.500.12-428-3218.715.53.2212.515.4-2.94
Popeye Jones17170.000.50-0.500.15-529-3417.116.11.0412.515.2-2.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 79, CHH 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
LAC 104, GSW 1210.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
DAL 82, NYK 1070.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%