NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	104		Excitement	4.2 [951]		MVP	Matt Geiger (PHI): +6.5%
Atlanta Hawks	92		Comeback	1.2 [996]		LVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): -10.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	10	69%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	8	59%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
George Lynch	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	20	59%	0.10	5	-0.09	6	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	17	53%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Bowman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	14	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	9	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	57%	0.01	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	13	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	11	32%	-0.08	2	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	11	27%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.7	29.5	15.7	26.3	2.6	32.0	129.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +43.3%

PHI +2.3%

ATL -2.4%

PHI +7.9%

ATL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	16.5	15.2	114.3	101.1	101.7
season	15.0	15.4		99.5	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		105.1	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.8	11.4	17.2	16.5	15.1
ATL	16.9	17.4	17.0	14.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	74	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-3	18	15.1	15.2	-0.10	16.7	15.8	0.90
Allen Iverson	72	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	2	8	15.7	12.9	2.79	16.5	16.7	-0.15
Eric Snow	56	57	0.35	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	2	8	16.3	13.1	3.18	16.3	16.9	-0.58
Tyrone Hill	77	76	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	8	-4	15.9	10.4	5.52	15.8	20.5	-4.69
Toni Kukoc	46	46	0.26	0.25	0.01	0.20	2	10	-8	14.0	16.2	-2.18	16.5	16.6	-0.06
Matt Geiger	32	31	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	6	0	13.0	16.2	-3.24	17.8	15.9	1.96
George Lynch	40	41	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	6	0	16.7	13.8	2.95	16.9	16.3	0.60
Aaron McKie	36	35	0.16	0.35	-0.18	0.01	5	7	-2	13.2	16.3	-3.06	16.6	16.5	0.04
Kevin Ollie	19	20	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	10	-8	12.9	15.7	-2.79	16.8	16.5	0.32
Todd MacCulloch	1	1	0.00	0.51	-0.51	0.00	0	12	-12	10.0	15.2	-5.16	18.0	16.5	1.47
Jumaine Jones	1	1	0.00	0.51	-0.51	0.00	0	12	-12	10.0	15.2	-5.16	18.0	16.5	1.47
Ira Bowman	1	1	0.00	0.51	-0.51	0.00	0	12	-12	10.0	15.2	-5.16	18.0	16.5	1.47

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roshown McLeod	6	7	-0.14	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-7	2	26.7	15.8	10.83	10.9	15.5	-4.60
Alan Henderson	45	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-5	-2	17.3	15.8	1.42	15.5	14.7	0.77
Bimbo Coles	18	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	-6	0	16.7	16.5	0.15	10.4	16.2	-5.76
Jim Jackson	43	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	-7	2	17.0	16.2	0.81	16.5	13.8	2.68
Cal Bowdler	40	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.12	-4	-8	4	15.2	17.6	-2.36	14.1	15.8	-1.70
Lorenzen Wright	50	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.20	-3	-9	6	16.2	16.9	-0.69	14.5	15.8	-1.32
Dion Glover	48	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-5	-2	16.2	17.0	-0.81	13.8	16.5	-2.68
Dikembe Mutombo	76	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-8	4	15.8	20.5	-4.69	16.0	10.4	5.63
Jason Terry	73	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.16	-6	-6	0	16.5	16.7	-0.15	16.2	10.4	5.76
LaPhonso Ellis	56	57	-0.38	-0.13	-0.25	0.00	-13	1	-14	17.2	15.6	1.59	15.3	14.8	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.17,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 134, IND 114	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
DAL 109, CLE 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
CLE 107, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.8%