NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	96		Excitement	7.4 [335]		MVP	Johnny Newman (NJN): +29.6%
New Jersey Nets	88		Comeback	1.1 [960]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -24.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16	0.10	0.07	0.01	14	72%	0.20	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Ron Mercer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	22	46%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Ben Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Bo Outlaw	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.09
John Amaechi	-0.16	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	14	37%	-0.07	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.05
Chucky Atkins	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	4	25%	-0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.13	0.17	-0.00	15	71%	0.33	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.07
Mark Hendrickson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	0.03	-0.02	17	39%	-0.01	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	14	36%	-0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.12	0.02	26	45%	-0.06	4	-0.18	3	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	1.4	27.2	14.8	24.0	1.8	35.3	125.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +10.8%

ORL +14.5%

ORL +24.9%

NJN -1.2%

ORL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NJN	NBA	ORL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.3	17.0	15.2	104.3	95.7	101.7
season	13.6	15.5		100.4	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.4		103.3	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.6	15.3	15.9	14.1	14.3
NJN	14.1	18.1	20.1	16.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	79	77	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.31	12	-4	16	14.6	12.6	1.99	16.8	18.0	-1.22
Darrell Armstrong	64	66	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.22	15	-7	22	14.7	13.6	1.08	16.0	19.5	-3.57
John Amaechi	49	51	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	-6	20	15.0	13.6	1.35	16.5	17.6	-1.10
Ben Wallace	72	73	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-1	10	14.5	13.8	0.67	16.5	18.8	-2.35
Ron Mercer	75	75	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	1	6	14.7	12.8	1.92	16.2	20.5	-4.28
Monty Williams	32	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	9	-10	13.5	14.7	-1.22	19.6	15.6	3.96
Michael Doleac	11	12	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	6	-4	12.6	14.6	-1.92	15.2	17.2	-1.99
Corey Maggette	16	16	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	13	-18	14.2	14.4	-0.17	19.4	16.5	2.98
Chucky Atkins	30	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	13	-18	13.4	14.8	-1.42	19.2	16.1	3.12
Pat Garrity	32	31	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	16	-24	13.2	14.9	-1.75	18.3	16.3	1.98

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Burrell	3	2	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-4	0	21.3	16.8	4.50	19.5	14.2	5.29
Jim McIlvaine	30	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-6	4	16.8	17.0	-0.22	15.6	13.7	1.84
Mark Hendrickson	12	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-2	-4	14.6	17.3	-2.75	10.5	14.8	-4.29
Johnny Newman	57	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.35	5	-13	18	17.6	16.0	1.58	15.4	12.4	3.01
Kendall Gill	82	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-4	0	17.3	14.1	3.23	14.8	10.4	4.40
Lucious Harris	74	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-5	2	16.8	17.8	-1.06	14.8	12.6	2.20
Jamie Feick	61	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-2	-4	17.2	16.6	0.55	13.8	15.5	-1.74
Keith Van Horn	89	90	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-4	0	16.8	21.3	-4.50	14.2	19.5	-5.29
Elliot Perry	52	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.02	-16	8	-24	16.5	17.6	-1.14	12.4	16.8	-4.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.28,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 84, HOU 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.28,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.04,0	93.1%
ORL 97, PHX 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.33,0.08,0	92.8%
TOR 98, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.19,0.28,0.17,0.15,0	92.7%