NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	97		Excitement	8.0 [217]		MVP	Tom Gugliotta (PHX): +13.7%
Phoenix Suns	91		Comeback	1.1 [597]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -38.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Don Reid	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	4	100%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	12	69%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.02	-0.10	0.09	0.00	11	46%	0.09	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.06
Troy Hudson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Monty Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Tracy McGrady	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.12	0.02	-0.03	28	40%	-0.00	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Michael Doleac	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	8	44%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.00	10	58%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.00	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.05
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	4	60%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	11	41%	-0.12	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.16
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.34	-0.34	-0.18	-0.17	-0.01	14	20%	-0.24	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.38,-0.39	-0.39	-0.12	-0.30	-0.03	11	48%	-0.09	4	-0.30	11	82%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	0.6	32.3	15.5	24.4	2.3	40.6	139.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +35.8%

PHX -12.5%

ORL +1.1%

ORL +18.5%

ORL +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHX	NBA	ORL	PHX	NBA
this game	13.9	15.6	15.5	99.0	93.8	100.9
season	14.6	14.9		101.6	97.7
opponent	15.4	15.8		96.2	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	10.6	14.2	16.3	14.6	13.9
PHX	18.2	15.2	15.0	14.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	89	88	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-7	20	13.9	13.8	0.13	16.0	12.4	3.53
Bo Outlaw	81	79	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.27	13	-7	20	13.8	14.4	-0.62	16.2	13.2	3.05
Darrell Armstrong	67	65	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-2	10	14.8	12.0	2.82	16.9	13.1	3.81
Michael Doleac	44	43	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	2	2	15.1	12.9	2.25	15.1	16.1	-0.92
Mike Miller	73	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	7	-8	14.1	13.2	0.88	16.0	14.7	1.31
Troy Hudson	33	34	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	3	0	11.3	15.2	-3.87	12.6	17.3	-4.67
Andrew DeClercq	26	27	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	13.6	14.0	-0.44	18.2	14.7	3.51
Cory Alexander	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	6	-6	0.0	14.0	-14.04	8.0	15.7	-7.73
Monty Williams	34	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	6	-6	13.4	14.2	-0.79	14.1	16.5	-2.40
John Amaechi	12	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	13	-20	15.8	13.6	2.21	13.4	16.0	-2.55
Don Reid	30	30	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.07	-3	9	-12	13.2	14.2	-1.05	14.5	16.2	-1.71

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vinny Del Negro	23	23	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.09	6	-12	18	14.7	15.9	-1.25	16.0	13.3	2.69
Chris Dudley	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-5	4	14.8	15.8	-1.01	13.1	14.0	-0.96
Rodney Rogers	56	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.23	4	-10	14	15.4	16.0	-0.56	14.6	13.0	1.61
Jake Tsakalidis	60	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.10	-5	-1	-4	17.2	13.1	4.06	14.3	13.2	1.17
Clifford Robinson	77	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	2	-10	16.3	13.2	3.09	14.0	13.4	0.56
Tom Gugliotta	35	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	0	-6	14.9	16.1	-1.19	12.6	14.7	-2.05
Tony Delk	67	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	14.5	18.2	-3.69	13.4	14.9	-1.52
Mario Elie	65	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	0	-6	15.8	15.3	0.55	13.7	14.4	-0.71
Jason Kidd	88	89	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.30	-10	4	-14	15.6	16.0	-0.39	13.7	15.7	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.33,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.18,0	93.1%
ORL 96, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.28,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.02,0	92.8%
NOH 89, CLE 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.01,0	92.7%