NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	73		Excitement	7.6 [307]		MVP	Dale Davis (IND): +15.1%
Indiana Pacers	77		Comeback	4.1 [466]		LVP	Charles Oakley (TOR): -39.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Muggsy Bogues	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.08	0.03	-0.03	9	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0,0.07,0.07,0,-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.02	25	52%	0.04	2	-0.10	4	25%	-0.07
Tracy McGrady	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	17	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Dee Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.08	-0.00	5	50%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	10	39%	-0.03	3	-0.14	8	87%	0.06
Charles Oakley	-0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34,-0.39	-0.20	-0.20	-0.01	10	18%	-0.22	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	8	75%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	12	46%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.07,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	19	55%	0.07	1	-0.07	6	67%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	10	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	10	90%	0.08
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	9	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	6	0%	-0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	25.2	16.4	24.4	2.3	33.5	126.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +27.2%

IND +13.6%

TOR -8.8%

IND +16.6%

IND +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	16.5	16.2	15.2	83.0	87.5	101.7
season	15.5	15.4		101.8	106.5
opponent	15.1	14.9		101.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.0	15.3	19.2	16.0	16.5
IND	14.6	16.7	17.8	16.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	40	40	0.50	-1.00	1.49	0.06	15	-19	34	15.8	17.1	-1.35	16.9	15.7	1.21
Dell Curry	26	24	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-5	6	16.3	16.6	-0.29	14.7	16.8	-2.13
Muggsy Bogues	50	52	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-4	4	16.6	16.4	0.21	16.7	15.4	1.31
Charles Oakley	67	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.32	-5	1	-6	17.0	15.0	1.99	15.8	17.5	-1.66
Vince Carter	80	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	0	-4	16.4	17.4	-0.95	16.1	17.5	-1.41
Tracy McGrady	74	74	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.38	-9	5	-14	16.8	14.9	1.88	16.5	14.6	1.96
Dee Brown	27	27	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.53	-5	1	-6	14.5	17.4	-2.93	15.4	16.6	-1.17
Antonio Davis	76	76	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.36	-13	9	-22	17.0	13.3	3.68	16.5	14.7	1.79

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	66	66	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.50	9	-5	14	16.1	16.5	-0.44	16.7	16.0	0.68
Jalen Rose	73	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.45	7	-3	10	16.0	17.4	-1.43	16.1	18.4	-2.28
Austin Croshere	44	45	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-4	12	16.3	16.1	0.16	16.2	16.8	-0.55
Dale Davis	68	66	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.41	5	-1	6	16.2	16.2	0.02	16.6	16.1	0.50
Travis Best	47	47	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.40	2	2	0	16.2	16.2	-0.01	16.2	16.9	-0.73
Mark Jackson	41	41	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	2	0	16.2	16.2	0.01	16.9	16.2	0.73
Rik Smits	48	47	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	6	-8	15.8	16.7	-0.84	16.4	16.6	-0.23
Chris Mullin	17	17	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	8	-12	16.8	16.1	0.75	16.6	16.5	0.10
Sam Perkins	15	16	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	8	-12	18.3	15.8	2.47	18.1	16.2	1.90
Derrick McKey	21	23	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.09	-3	7	-10	16.1	16.2	-0.10	16.6	16.5	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 95, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.29,0.28,0.45,0.55,0.94,0.98,1	93.0%
ATL 96, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.87,0.92,1	92.4%
MEM 117, GSW 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.31,0.35,0.6,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.99,1	91.9%