NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	95		Excitement	7.6 [253]		MVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): +27.6%
Miami Heat	99		Comeback	10.7 [240]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -17.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.00	7	63%	0.17	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Sebastian Telfair	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	89%	0.17	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Shannon Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.03	7	60%	0.05	1	0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Michael Redd	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	58%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Robin Lopez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	13	46%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.08	0.03	14	59%	0.09	5	-0.22	4	75%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	7	14%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	7	60%	0.05	7	-0.23	1	0%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.17	0.12	0.02	16	76%	0.33	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.04
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	12	75%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	17	44%	0.06	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dexter Pittman	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	18	48%	-0.03	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	33.1	17.8	27.3	3.4	45.3	154.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -4.7%

MIA +12.2%

PHX -0.3%

MIA +36.5%

MIA +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIA	NBA	PHX	MIA	NBA
this game	15.3	15.8	15.6	102.2	107.6	102.8
season	15.0	15.5		104.7	105.6
opponent	15.8	15.7		98.8	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.1	16.0	13.1	17.2	15.3
MIA	14.9	14.6	18.2	15.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Redd	17	18	0.36	-0.86	1.21	0.09	9	-13	22	20.3	14.2	6.06	15.3	15.9	-0.64
Shannon Brown	38	39	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.05	10	-14	24	15.6	15.1	0.49	16.3	15.5	0.80
Markieff Morris	42	41	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.05	7	-11	18	16.1	14.7	1.46	16.6	15.2	1.38
Robin Lopez	22	24	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.05	3	-7	10	19.3	14.1	5.15	16.8	15.4	1.35
Sebastian Telfair	26	27	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.02	1	-5	6	17.4	14.6	2.83	15.7	15.8	-0.13
Steve Nash	67	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.41	-5	1	-6	14.6	17.4	-2.83	15.8	15.7	0.13
Marcin Gortat	71	68	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.43	-7	3	-10	14.1	19.3	-5.15	15.4	16.8	-1.35
Channing Frye	48	48	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.42	-12	8	-20	15.2	15.4	-0.19	15.7	15.9	-0.27
Jared Dudley	63	60	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.46	-12	8	-20	14.4	17.4	-3.03	15.2	16.9	-1.66
Grant Hill	71	70	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.46	-14	10	-24	14.5	18.2	-3.72	15.8	15.8	0.03

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	68	69	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.33	22	-18	40	15.6	16.2	-0.62	16.1	13.0	3.10
LeBron James	74	76	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.44	15	-11	26	15.9	15.3	0.64	14.2	20.3	-6.06
Mario Chalmers	62	65	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.43	13	-9	22	16.0	15.3	0.73	14.5	17.2	-2.68
Dwyane Wade	68	69	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.29	17	-13	30	15.5	16.5	-0.96	16.3	12.5	3.89
Udonis Haslem	56	56	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	2	0	16.1	15.3	0.85	16.3	13.9	2.41
Dexter Pittman	28	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	5	-6	15.9	15.7	0.14	14.4	15.8	-1.40
Eddy Curry	9	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	10	-16	15.4	15.8	-0.39	14.5	15.4	-0.95
James Jones	27	27	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.10	-14	18	-32	15.5	15.9	-0.44	11.7	16.8	-5.13
Norris Cole	28	27	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.09	-9	13	-22	16.3	15.6	0.76	17.1	14.6	2.49
Shane Battier	40	37	-0.61	1.11	-1.72	-0.05	-19	23	-42	15.3	16.2	-0.92	16.6	14.5	2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.29,0.28,0.45,0.55,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 73, IND 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.92,1	93.0%
SAS 129, MIL 135	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.54,0.91,0.92,1	91.9%
ATL 96, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.87,0.92,1	91.2%