NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	117		Excitement	7.8 [290]		MVP	Mickael Pietrus (GSW): +29.6%
Golden State Warriors	122		Comeback	5.7 [517]		LVP	Andris Biedrins (GSW): -1.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	12	63%	0.19	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.08
Rudy Gay	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	10	62%	0.15	5	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	80%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Dahntay Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04	-0.06	0.06	-0.04	8	37%	0.06	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.00	11	70%	0.14	4	-0.11	11	82%	-0.02
Junior Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	2	83%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Tarence Kinsey	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.06	0.02	0.06	14	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	11	73%	0.00
Alexander Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	16	53%	0.11	2	-0.11	4	75%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.09	0.19	-0.02	6	100%	0.33	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.08,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.14	0.19	0.03	18	62%	0.33	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.00	14	72%	0.23	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	13	61%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.06
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	15	42%	0.02	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.06
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	30.7	15.7	26.8	2.7	39.3	141.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +65.7%

MEM -34.8%

MEM -6.9%

GSW +28.3%

MEM -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	12.6	15.4	115.8	118.4	104.5
season	15.1	13.5		105.1	105.7
opponent	15.2	15.1		105.7	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.7	14.2	14.9	17.1	15.7
GSW	12.3	13.5	11.8	12.9	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	41	43	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.03	6	-11	17	14.7	16.3	-1.57	12.2	12.9	-0.67
Junior Harrington	35	36	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.08	4	-9	13	14.7	16.2	-1.54	13.9	11.9	2.06
Alexander Johnson	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-6	7	2.5	15.9	-13.43	0.5	12.8	-12.34
Stromile Swift	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-6	7	14.4	16.2	-1.76	11.5	13.0	-1.46
Hakim Warrick	71	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-1	-3	16.7	13.2	3.50	13.0	11.7	1.24
Pau Gasol	95	98	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.39	-7	2	-9	15.8	13.8	1.95	12.7	10.6	2.10
Rudy Gay	69	70	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.37	-8	3	-11	15.8	15.4	0.42	13.0	11.7	1.29
Chucky Atkins	71	72	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.41	-9	4	-13	16.0	14.9	1.13	12.2	13.4	-1.17
Tarence Kinsey	93	95	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.46	-9	4	-13	15.8	13.5	2.35	12.4	14.9	-2.46

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	86	83	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.39	14	-9	23	12.6	12.7	-0.12	16.1	13.5	2.63
Stephen Jackson	84	81	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-7	19	12.3	13.8	-1.46	15.9	14.7	1.14
Andris Biedrins	74	75	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.37	1	4	-3	12.8	12.1	0.69	15.6	15.9	-0.30
Mickael Pietrus	47	49	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	5	-5	13.1	12.1	1.01	15.4	15.9	-0.46
Monta Ellis	99	96	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	5	-5	12.6	12.7	-0.15	15.1	26.0	-10.87
Baron Davis	23	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	2	1	12.8	12.5	0.29	16.3	15.5	0.84
Sarunas Jasikevicius	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	4	-3	7.0	12.7	-5.66	0.0	15.7	-15.66
Matt Barnes	40	40	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	10	-15	11.5	13.3	-1.80	15.1	16.0	-0.85
Al Harrington	61	59	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.06	-1	6	-7	13.1	11.9	1.18	16.0	15.2	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.31,0.35,0.6,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 109, LAL 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.14,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.6,0.85,0.72,0.85,1,1	93.5%
MIL 79, SAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.84,0.98,1,1	92.7%
DET 84, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.53,0.61,0.86,0.85,0.99,1,1	92.6%