NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	105		Excitement	2.8 [1181]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +8.5%
Golden State Warriors	84		Comeback	1.0 [1206]		LVP	Larry Hughes (GSW): -18.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	6	78%	0.09	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.03
Karl Malone	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	9	79%	0.07	2	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	81%	0.07	5	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	12	61%	0.01	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	7	50%	-0.02	4	-0.00	2	100%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	12	32%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tim Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	-0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	4	79%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	16	41%	-0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.06	6	75%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.20	-0.01	-0.07	13	36%	-0.04	7	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.00	-0.01	16	37%	-0.10	5	-0.09	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	29.9	26.7	29.6	2.6	27.3	141.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +42.4%

UTA +5.9%

GSW -9.0%

UTA +8.2%

UTA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	14.5	15.2	110.5	88.4	101.7
season	16.3	14.7		104.5	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.2		105.8	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.6	14.0	15.6	19.0	15.8
GSW	15.4	16.0	15.1	11.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	56	56	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.31	30	-9	39	14.6	17.6	-3.01	16.2	12.2	4.02
Karl Malone	53	53	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.18	20	1	19	14.8	17.0	-2.26	16.3	12.2	4.10
Quincy Lewis	36	36	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	8	5	16.7	15.3	1.41	14.6	14.5	0.09
Howard Eisley	74	72	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	6	9	15.5	16.7	-1.19	14.7	14.1	0.52
Greg Ostertag	38	39	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	14	-7	15.9	15.7	0.26	14.2	14.8	-0.59
Olden Polynice	45	45	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.09	11	10	1	15.0	16.5	-1.42	15.9	13.3	2.59
Bryon Russell	62	63	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	16	-11	15.7	15.9	-0.14	14.7	14.2	0.51
Jacque Vaughn	49	50	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	20	-19	16.5	15.0	1.53	13.3	15.9	-2.55
Armen Gilliam	42	42	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	20	-19	17.0	14.8	2.26	12.2	16.3	-4.10
Adam Keefe	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	18	-15	18.1	15.5	2.63	10.2	15.1	-4.91
Scott Padgett	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	18.7	15.5	3.23	7.7	15.1	-7.40

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Young	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-20	19	9.4	15.1	-5.73	18.8	15.4	3.36
Tony Farmer	45	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-17	13	14.7	14.4	0.27	15.8	15.8	-0.02
Vonteego Cummings	52	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-14	7	14.3	14.8	-0.48	15.5	16.2	-0.69
Bill Curley	22	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-15	9	12.4	15.2	-2.81	16.3	15.6	0.63
Mark Davis	52	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-14	7	13.2	16.1	-2.82	16.5	14.9	1.64
Sam Jacobson	32	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-17	13	11.7	16.0	-4.33	17.5	14.9	2.64
Donyell Marshall	11	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-10	-1	16.9	14.2	2.69	14.7	15.9	-1.19
Adonal Foyle	53	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-11	1	14.6	14.4	0.22	16.2	15.3	0.86
Larry Hughes	75	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-5	-11	15.5	10.7	4.78	15.4	17.3	-1.98
Jason Caffey	61	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.13	-19	-2	-17	15.9	12.1	3.84	15.2	16.9	-1.72
Mookie Blaylock	62	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.04	-20	-1	-19	15.7	12.4	3.31	14.9	17.5	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 120, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
CHI 110, CHH 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
HOU 98, CHI 66	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%