NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	120		Excitement	2.5 [1262]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (IND): +19.9%
Toronto Raptors	95		Comeback	1.1 [573]		LVP	Rafael Araujo (TOR): -5.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.17	0.00	-0.03	18	75%	0.21	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.21	0.00	0.07	11	92%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	14	55%	0.04	3	0.00	10	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	13	59%	0.06	3	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
David Harrison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	85%	0.02	3	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.20	0.02	0.08	12	79%	0.14	1	-0.00	10	100%	0.02
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	43%	0.01	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.02
Andre Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	16	41%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	14	45%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	17	45%	-0.02	2	0.00	6	100%	-0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	8	29%	-0.03	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	7	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.0	28.2	17.4	31.4	2.5	26.6	134.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +47.1%

IND +0.4%

TOR -1.1%

IND +3.2%

IND +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.6	127.7	102.2	104.4
season	16.0	15.6		102.3	107.3
opponent	15.4	15.5		110.5	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.3	15.5	15.8	16.8	15.4
TOR	18.2	16.4	14.2	13.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	78	76	0.65	-0.15	0.79	-0.29	32	-7	39	14.9	17.5	-2.56	15.8	13.8	1.97
Jermaine O'Neal	60	60	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.67	43	-18	61	14.9	16.2	-1.35	16.6	13.3	3.30
Anthony Johnson	62	65	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.58	39	-14	53	14.8	16.6	-1.80	16.4	13.1	3.37
Stephen Jackson	62	59	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.53	33	-8	41	14.8	16.5	-1.71	16.5	13.6	2.95
Scot Pollard	34	35	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.34	24	1	23	13.6	16.3	-2.70	17.2	14.3	2.88
Danny Granger	50	51	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.31	-7	32	-39	16.6	14.0	2.54	14.6	16.4	-1.78
Eddie Gill	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	35	-45	17.1	15.0	2.08	12.4	16.1	-3.77
Sarunas Jasikevicius	40	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.35	-13	38	-51	16.0	14.9	1.18	13.5	16.9	-3.39
Austin Croshere	22	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	30	-35	16.7	15.0	1.77	14.6	15.7	-1.06
David Harrison	44	43	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.21	-11	36	-47	16.5	14.4	2.12	13.0	17.5	-4.48

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Barrett	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-35	45	13.2	16.2	-3.05	16.8	14.9	1.96
Charlie Villanueva	56	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.22	-14	-11	-3	15.0	16.1	-1.04	15.3	15.5	-0.25
Jose Calderon	61	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.23	1	-26	27	14.4	17.5	-3.11	16.2	13.9	2.33
Loren Woods	46	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.27	-17	-8	-9	15.8	15.1	0.65	15.8	14.9	0.87
Rafael Araujo	30	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.25	-18	-7	-11	16.7	14.8	1.83	13.6	16.2	-2.53
Morris Peterson	59	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.49	-29	4	-33	16.3	13.9	2.49	15.1	15.9	-0.76
Joey Graham	85	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-8	-9	14.7	23.1	-8.42	16.0	10.2	5.79
Pape Sow	43	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-15	5	15.7	15.2	0.58	14.5	16.1	-1.59
Mike James	61	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.41	-31	6	-37	16.8	12.8	4.04	14.6	16.9	-2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 105, GSW 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
CHI 110, CHH 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
LAL 103, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%