NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	6.3 [559]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +21.2%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	2.8 [840]		LVP	Larry Hughes (GSW): -18.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21	0.18	0.06	0.03	27	70%	0.26	2	-0.05	16	69%	-0.05
Devean George	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.06	0.02	6	117%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.00	0.07	-0.03	4	50%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07	-0.10	0.03	-0.00	14	47%	0.03	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Jacobson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.02	0.03	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	18	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	14	79%	-0.02
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	1	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	21	45%	-0.03	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	24	37%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	18	37%	-0.13	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	0.6	30.2	15.6	29.1	2.8	40.0	143.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +61.7%

LAL +8.4%

GSW -23.2%

LAL +6.3%

GSW -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.2	15.5	15.2	114.4	107.2	101.7
season	15.3	14.7		105.6	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.1		105.8	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.3	15.3	14.7	13.8	14.2
GSW	15.0	15.3	15.9	15.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	35	35	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.21	16	-9	25	13.2	14.8	-1.61	15.7	15.4	0.30
Brian Shaw	58	59	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.34	9	-2	11	14.5	13.9	0.59	15.2	15.9	-0.75
Rick Fox	36	38	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-7	21	15.3	13.6	1.67	16.0	15.1	0.88
Kobe Bryant	86	85	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	-3	13	13.8	17.5	-3.74	15.7	13.9	1.77
Shaquille O'Neal	89	88	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	-1	9	14.2	14.0	0.25	15.5	15.1	0.39
Travis Knight	12	14	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.04	2	5	-3	13.2	14.4	-1.11	15.2	15.5	-0.29
A.C. Green	36	36	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	4	-1	14.0	14.4	-0.36	16.2	15.0	1.12
Glen Rice	61	59	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	14	-21	13.6	15.3	-1.67	15.1	16.0	-0.88
Robert Horry	20	20	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.02	-7	14	-21	16.6	13.6	2.99	14.6	15.7	-1.09
Derek Fisher	52	51	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.13	-13	20	-33	14.8	13.6	1.21	15.2	15.8	-0.65

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Jacobson	22	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-12	17	13.1	16.1	-3.01	13.0	14.6	-1.55
Tony Farmer	4	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-6	5	18.7	15.3	3.43	12.0	14.3	-2.35
Vonteego Cummings	21	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-7	7	15.9	15.4	0.50	14.6	14.1	0.53
Mark Davis	26	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-6	5	15.8	15.3	0.52	14.7	14.1	0.70
Adonal Foyle	54	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	5	-17	16.2	14.5	1.75	14.5	13.9	0.57
Mookie Blaylock	79	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	0	-7	15.4	15.7	-0.25	14.1	14.9	-0.79
Jason Caffey	93	93	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	15.5	14.5	1.01	14.3	13.2	1.02
Donyell Marshall	92	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	0	-7	15.3	19.0	-3.73	14.3	12.8	1.49
Larry Hughes	94	94	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	0	-7	15.4	17.0	-1.59	14.3	13.3	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.67,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.42,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, LAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
DEN 93, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.74,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.34,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.1%
ORL 97, MIL 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%